Yes, but the overall theme thus far is judging Pabrai's investment track record to the likelihood of this investment paying off. The company's situation is quite simple, as you described. But the psychology and fear in the market are making people come up with these crazy "I told you so" and "comparison of track record" remarks that deviate from the underlying investment. You make an investment today, you are paying under $250 million for a pretty good solid moat businesses. Last friday it was $500 million. You mean to tell me in one week, after all that has been going on, the company is now 50 cents cheaper and people are afraid to buy? Well then...looks like I'm buying hands over fist Monday morning to establish a decent size position. BTW, I'm a minnow small time investor, so hands over fist means one buy order to the tune of how many more shares can I buy without drinking this weekend.
No dog in this fight, but isn't this a question of liquidity, solvency and dilution over one of value? The value may be there; it's simply that buyers today may have to hand pieces of it over to senior positions in the capital structure and/or buyers of new shares. If that occurs, current common shareholders cannot count on having much leverage in those negotiations.