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deadspace

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  1. If you think that bitcoin is going to perform very well , then I think better strategy would be directly invest in bitcoin rather then investing in MSTR Yeah but try holding directly invested bitcoin in a TFSA
  2. I would never short this Sometimes the best moats are the simplest The fact that zoom just works is plenty a moat compared to their brain dead competitors They have excellent product market fit and this could go way higher
  3. Taxing capital gains with higher inclusion would barley move the needle It would also punish the 99% not the 1% who would simply hold their shares and choose not to pay. The 99% who need the capital gains to finance regular purchases would be most hurt by this. With regard to the taxation of primary residence it has been bantered around and it makes sense because let’s face it. That’s where the money is. Look you have a PM that has never kept a budget and is a trust fund kid. He has no sense of the arc of history. Pandemics can last years. It’s almost a guarantee the government will print more money in 2021 than 2020. And guess what. Sh*t happens that we cannot anticipate that’s why wise people save when times are good like 2015 to 2019 rather than run deficits that will “balance themselves “ If you don’t develop palpitations everytime he emerges from his bunker to unleash money from every orfice then you are not understanding the consequences. When he says the government has your back he means you and me are gonna pay for it
  4. That comment made my day :-) I am actually thinking of doing the opposite. Gotta love how smart people can look at the exact same situation and see two completely different solutions / ways forward. No right or wrong. The key is fit. Finding a solution that works for you. Best of luck! you are thinking of exiting real estate (in Vancouver?) and entering the stock market? i’m definitely not smart financially. thx to this board (all the contributors and educators and the administrator Sanjeev of course) — i have had some fun while keeping my capital and some :)) gary, I have learned over the years that I am smart as a stump when it comes to real estate. Dumb luck explains my current situation. When I bought my current residence in Langley (2010) I paid about $600,000 and thought the market might be in a bubble. My mortgage was a little under $400,000 so my starting equity was $200,000. This spring my house might sell for $1,300,000 (perhaps more). My mortgage is under $330,000. With closing costs, costs to break my mortgage and moving costs if I sold this spring I think i might net about $900,000. I started with $200,000 so this would be a $700,000 tax free gain in 11 years (no taxes on principal residence in Canada). Locking in $700,000 real estate gain (tax free) appeals to me. Adding $900,000 to our existing investment portfolio my wife and I will be set up very well financially. If I can earn 6-8% on the total portfolio (my long term average is a shade under 15%) we will be set financially. Another smaller factor is our current house will need some improvements in the coming years. If we stay my guess is we will spend about $70,000 in improvements in the next 5 years (new windows, garage door and motor, plumbing upgrades, new powder room, new kids bathroom, new kitchen etc). We have a nice house... but it will need some work :-) The second part of the equation is lifestyle. Where we live today is a great area to bring up kids: quiet street, great schools (all walking distance), parks, bike trails, newer rec center, shopping close, great sports programs and sports facilities. Great suburban living (50 minutes from downtown Vancouver). Except our 3 kids will all likely be in same University (UBC, on the other side of town) in Sept. My wife and i will be entering the next phase of life (no kids at home; no kids sports activities to keep us busy in the evenings etc). We are thinking it might be great to live in the fun part of Vancouver (close to UBC) for the next couple of years: rent a house ($4,500/month, perhaps more). And be closer to the kids (at school) and spend the next couple of years exploring and getting know the fun parts of urban Vancouver (beautiful city). Actually, this is more what I am thinking; I just broached the idea with my wife and she needs some time to wrap her head around it :-) We have talked about it for the past 6 months or so but I decided it was time to kick it up a notch when I saw what recent sales were going for in my area. We are in no hurry. Historically we have moved every 5 years or so; 11 years in one place is a record for us. The goal is two fold: 1.) improve our lifestyle 2.) lock in / perhaps improve our financial situation No firm decision :-) When we have made moves like this in the past, it normally takes us about 12-18 months for the decision to come into focus. Every move we have made has been a great decision (looked at with hindsight). If we stay I will be happy. Are you considering the possibility that capital gains on the house may be taxed with the next budget? That’s putting some hurry into these decisions for people Somehow “the government has your back” will need to soon give way to the reality of tax increases
  5. “The reality is most people heard Buffett dismiss it and others call it tulips - and that is enough to stop thinking.“ Buffett dismissing bitcoin reminds me of Einstein dismissing quantum mechanics
  6. This will also potentially have a devastating effect on retirement plans
  7. But then why doesn’t everyone just do this with Switzerland. A country with zero capital gains tax ? What you say is not correct. It's not true that Switzerland has a zero capital gains tax. What's true is that Switzerland doesn't have a capital gains tax. The reason why Switzerland doesn't have a capital gains tax is because capital gains have a 100% inclusion rate and are taxed as ordinary income. In addition Switzerland levies a wealth tax on your net assets. Thanks for clarifying I guess not to leave the main point I’m just trying to understand the issue of “flight of capital “. In other words why do we have to keep our capital gains policy similar to US and if capital can easily flee then any other country with low capital gains taxes would just reap the benefits even if US and Canada both raised rates. Just trying to understand these issues from those here that are more knowledgeable
  8. But then why doesn’t everyone just do this with Switzerland. A country with zero capital gains tax ?
  9. Wabuffo excuse my ignorance but I hear this argument often and don’t totally understand it How easily can we really move capital to US markets from Canada ? What is the mechanism? As a Canadian I don’t see how I can simply start investing in US equity and get the lower capital gain tax unless you mean people with capital are just going to leave Canada and become US citizens to get the lower capital gains tax ? I suppose that is the obvious mechanism for the flight of capital argument Thanks
  10. This is more a question for my Canadian friends as the tax situation in US tends to be less severe or at least it can be more difficult to raise taxes across the board The post Covid world may see 1) capital gains inclusion go way up. 75 to 100% 2) principal resident exception on home possibly go away Wondering how some of you are approaching this issues especially with regard to large capital gains you may have in stocks held for many years? I see financial advisors telling people to trigger gains now before it’s too late but killing the compounding machine also has its drawbacks? So far I have stayed with benign neglect of the portfolio but wondering if I am a sitting duck especially with some of the large capital gains made over last 10 years Thanks
  11. I think if we are honest with ourselves we would admit that these political discussions are eroding the online friendships and civility that are required on an investment board to allow people to debate investment ideas and to disagree with the idea but not the person - and not belittle the person expressing the idea. That becomes hard to do when you are attacking each other’s politic views over on the politics section. It’s perhaps a microcosm of America but in a very small way it can start the process of destroying what was built here and that needs to be taken seriously
  12. Sounds like a story stock. Got it ! Problem is they are in a space prone to commoditized products It would be nice to see them make a return on equity. But as long as you can imagine it that works also. It’s just more prone to error
  13. Profits have jumped up and down here for years .... Their return on equity has been not great and cars sold were declining but now back up again. Will this be sustainable? Tons of debt This doesn’t sound like a healthy company?
  14. Churn with Shopify is irrelevant It’s a feature not a bug. It allows businesses to fail in the process of discovering those which will succeed Follow GMV That’s all you need to follow
  15. https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1n5nhk92q3g62/I-Can-t-Believe-I-m-Saying-This-But-I-m-Passing-on-Seth-Klarman If value investing is merely being poorly practiced by some poor practitioners someone better tell this guy called Seth Klarman that he is just a poor practitioner of the art
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