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Everything posted by Liberty
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Munger: 'I think the reason why we got into such idiocy in investment management is best illustrated by a story that I tell about the guy who sold fishing tackle. I asked him, “My God, they’re purple and green. Do fish really take these lures?” And he said, “Mister, I don’t sell to fish.”' z/h is just looking for readers...
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And if you go back hundreds of years it goes up most of the time too. How embarrassing. ::)
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http://www.transdigm.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=196053&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1989275 There's also been some new about the COO: http://www.transdigm.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=196053&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1976928 http://www.transdigm.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=196053&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1976929
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Some news from LYV for a change: http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/envelope/cotown/la-et-ct-live-nation-vice-media-joint-venture-music-themed-platform-20141111-story.html
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Moynihan: http://www.veracast.com/webcasts/baml/banking2014/id02101110345.cfm
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Good idea: http://www.cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum/investment-ideas/lbrda-liberty-broadband/
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This is officially a thread spin-off from the LMCA discussion thread. Should be less confusing to have all the Broadband-related stuff in the same place.
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Do you think the U.S. will drill itself into an oil glut?
Liberty replied to JAllen's topic in General Discussion
I know that. I meant that in general terms, the commodity bulls always find a reason why price of their favorite thing has to go a certain way, but reality often finds ways of making it go otherwise. Obviously the specific dynamics will be different for oil and gold and potash and natural gas and nickel and copper and uranium and wheat and pork bellies and gravel... -
Do you think the U.S. will drill itself into an oil glut?
Liberty replied to JAllen's topic in General Discussion
Didn't they say the same thing about gold? -
Apple further differentiating itself with more custom silicon: http://www.anandtech.com/show/8716/apple-a8xs-gpu-gxa6850-even-better-than-i-thought
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Thanks Scott. Will have to look deeper. Superficially, the land/royalty business makes me think of a smaller Texas Pacific Land Trust (TPL).
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VRX - Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.
Liberty replied to giofranchi's topic in Investment Ideas
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-12/actavis-said-in-talks-to-acquire-allergan-for-over-60-billion.html -
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1462418/000110465914079323/a14-24266_1ex99d1.htm
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VRX - Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.
Liberty replied to giofranchi's topic in Investment Ideas
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/850693/000119312514407765/d820355d8k.htm -
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-switch/wp/2014/11/11/the-fcc-weighs-breaking-with-obama-over-the-future-of-the-internet/
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I think Ackman's goal is to have ZTS be acquired by VRX. Based on everything that Ackman has been saying about Valeant, he clearly thinks Pearson is a special CEO (all the Outsiders references) and that while the Valeant model isn't complex, it's very hard to execute well. Chances of ZTS reforming itself are a lot lower than having the guys who've shown they can do it take over. ZTS SGA is low 30s, VRX is low 20s. ZTS tax is almost 30%, VRX has cash tax of mid single digit. So if VRX could just bring SGA and tax down, rationalize R&D, and then in the longer term maybe use ZTS as a platform to buy mode animal health assets, this seems like a lot more potential value creation than having ZTS on its own with unproven management. IMO Pearson is Ackman's Tom Murphy. Ackman's going to try to feed him as many assets as possible and facilitate his deals.
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VRX - Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.
Liberty replied to giofranchi's topic in Investment Ideas
Hmm, here's a thought: Ackman's ZTS stake increases VRX stock price, which makes AGN deal more likely. Two birds with one stone.. -
VRX - Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.
Liberty replied to giofranchi's topic in Investment Ideas
Indeed. I wonder if maybe the plan is to build a new platform (ie. they have eye health, dermatology..). Gotta start somewhere. Once they have Zoetis, they could buy more animal health assets and then get more of those kinds of synergies? -
VRX - Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.
Liberty replied to giofranchi's topic in Investment Ideas
Slide from april 22nd, when Ackman briefly mentioned liking the business after explaining how it was one of the few businesses with as many durable assets as a AGN-VRX combination would have: http://i.imgur.com/9O7mZrH.jpg -
VRX - Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.
Liberty replied to giofranchi's topic in Investment Ideas
When Ackman and Valeant first announced the Allergan deal, Ackman mentioned in the Q&A that "they were already working on the next one", and during the presentation, they mentioned Zoetis as a company they liked (but in another context). Well, looks like it might be the next one: http://online.wsj.com/articles/ackman-takes-stake-in-animal-health-company-zoetis-1415738359 Now I have to go back to the original presentation to refresh my memory and see what they said about Zoetis exactly... -
Good deal for a cool $100 Million?
Liberty replied to OracleofCarolina's topic in General Discussion
Same for me, but as long as he likes it, I guess he can spend his money however he wants... And now that it's been sold for that much, the signal has been sent to other collectors that it's worth at least that, so Cohen could probably sell it again and not lose money (as long as he's timing the art cycle a bit and doesn't offload it at the bottom)... -
34-minute interview with Tim Cook: http://m.wsj.com/articles/tim-cook-on-apple-watch-payments-and-getting-tv-right-full-video-1415660136?mobile=y
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Wheeler: http://www.fcc.gov/document/chairman-wheelers-stmt-president-obamas-stmt-open-internet
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http://9to5mac.com/2014/11/10/iphone-6-6-plus-increase-ios-enterprise-share-at-the-expense-of-android/ iOS doing well in the enterprise. IBM salesforce and apps+cloud can only help over time.