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CDOC - Coda Octopus group


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https://www.dropbox.com/s/lx2nwwc4621dh27/CDOC%20Analysis-%20PDF.pdf

 

stumbled upon this write up and this company looks really really cheap. But it is a tech company, and i hate tech company's. But then again it's really cheap, and got even cheaper last week. Had a big drop. It looks good, but Im afraid im missing something with that recent scary price drop? Is this a fraud or something?

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https://www.dropbox.com/s/lx2nwwc4621dh27/CDOC%20Analysis-%20PDF.pdf

 

stumbled upon this write up and this company looks really really cheap. But it is a tech company, and i hate tech company's. But then again it's really cheap, and got even cheaper last week. Had a big drop. It looks good, but Im afraid im missing something with that recent scary price drop? Is this a fraud or something?

 

Looked at this one maybe six months ago.  Yes, very cheap.  I agree that this is a bet on the technology, but I wouldn't be quite so scared of technology as you seem to be.  Pretty much any company in existence today relies on technology, and in some regards most could be considered 'tech' companies.  The bet is whether their product can continue to gain traction.

 

In terms of the dip, looks like the run up was a little euphoric.  I wouldn't read too much into it, these things happen with small stocks.  Just be nimble and take advantage, sell when it gets high, buy when it's low.

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I think this is what caused the drop (from page 39 of the annual report released on Jan. 29):

 

Item 9: Subsequent Event

 

A. Legal Proceedings

 

On or around January 6, 2014 a number of investors who subscribed for shares and warrants

pursuant to a series of securities purchase agreement in April and May 2007 (“Securities

Agreement”) and to which the Company was a party have instituted legal proceedings against the

Company and one of our Directors, Geoff Turner, in the Supreme Court of the State of New York

(“Claim”). In their Claim these investors allege, inter alia, breach of contract and negligent

misrepresentation. The investors who have brought this Claim against the Company are: Iroquois

Master Fund Limited, Rockmore Investment Master Fund Ltd, Cranshire Capital, LP, Scot Cohen,

Richard Abbe, Phillip Mirabelli and Joshua Silverman (together “Complainants”).

In summary the Complainants allege that the Company issued securities which constituted Dilutive

Issuances (as the term is defined in the Securities Agreement). These Complainants assert in their

Claim that they are seeking from the Company (i) the issuance of 97,618,439 shares of common

stock; and (ii) adjustment of the exercise price under each of the Complainant’s Warrants; and (iii)

reinstatement of the Warrant and adjustment of the exercise price of the Warrants and number of

shares issuable under the Warrants; and (iv) their costs and reasonable attorneys’ fees incurred; and

(v) any other relief the Court deems just and proper.

The Company and Geoff Turner intend to vigorously defend these claims.

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The main risk with CDOC is not their technology but potential dilution from the Iroquois lawsuit and convertible debt issue. I believe that the company will be able to refinance the convertible debt without incurring dilution but I am unable to handicap the odds of the Iroquois lawsuit succeeding. The lawsuit seems like a nuisance suit given the litigious nature of the fund involved and the amount of time that has elapsed since the expiry of the warrants but if successful would more than double the company's share count. The link to Iroquois' complaint is below:

 

https://iapps.courts.state.ny.us/fbem/DocumentDisplayServlet?documentId=coNO/3B3v0_PLUS_i/KqvAo0tyQ==&system=prod

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I believe the lawsuit was known before this latest quarterly report.  They guided Q1 2014 sales "significantly lower" than Q1 2013, which I believe was the reason for the drop. I think it had something to do with companies leasing instead of buying their machines?  But yes, the lawsuit is scary too. 

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https://www.dropbox.com/s/lx2nwwc4621dh27/CDOC%20Analysis-%20PDF.pdf

 

stumbled upon this write up and this company looks really really cheap. But it is a tech company, and i hate tech company's. But then again it's really cheap, and got even cheaper last week. Had a big drop. It looks good, but Im afraid im missing something with that recent scary price drop? Is this a fraud or something?

 

Looked at this one maybe six months ago.  Yes, very cheap.  I agree that this is a bet on the technology, but I wouldn't be quite so scared of technology as you seem to be.  Pretty much any company in existence today relies on technology, and in some regards most could be considered 'tech' companies.  The bet is whether their product can continue to gain traction.

 

In terms of the dip, looks like the run up was a little euphoric.  I wouldn't read too much into it, these things happen with small stocks.  Just be nimble and take advantage, sell when it gets high, buy when it's low.

well with tech without patents, I never really know if someone else will come along with better tech. Or if somehow it will be obsolete. Especially with b2b companies. I guess some tech is more predictable then others, but it is usually hard to get a good grasp on their moat.

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The main risk with CDOC is not their technology but potential dilution from the Iroquois lawsuit and convertible debt issue. I believe that the company will be able to refinance the convertible debt without incurring dilution but I am unable to handicap the odds of the Iroquois lawsuit succeeding. The lawsuit seems like a nuisance suit given the litigious nature of the fund involved and the amount of time that has elapsed since the expiry of the warrants but if successful would more than double the company's share count. The link to Iroquois' complaint is below:

 

https://iapps.courts.state.ny.us/fbem/DocumentDisplayServlet?documentId=coNO/3B3v0_PLUS_i/KqvAo0tyQ==&system=prod

 

Just read through this compliant.  The Plaintiff's arguments look pretty solid.  I think this company is uninvestable until this is resolved.  Could be interesting though if they reach some sort of settlement.  I do like the underlying business.

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