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EHL.AX - Emeco Holdings


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Everyone who is relying on "conservative assumptions" about book value for mining services companies should read this article. Very eye-opening. I'm winding down some mining services companies positions (keeping others) after reading that.

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That article is misleading in the sense that it is comparing the prices of purchasing each item new versus selling a 20 year old machine in need of a $700k rebuild for scrap value.

 

The sentiment is correct though.

 

Items that a few years ago would have sold for a couple of hundred thousand are now selling for 1/6 of that. There is simply no market for this equipment in a forced sale because there is no end user.

 

If Emeco were forced to liquidate their fleet equity holders definitely wouldn't get a cent. The assets they have sold have been through more of a drip feed process where they advertise them for sale and wait for a buyer to arise over an extended period of time (which could be years).

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As others noted, the article compares new versus 20 year old, not apples to apples.

 

This seems premature now. Had they (and presumably their financiers) waited one year, they most likely would've been fine, if not great. In one year the price of coal doubled.

 

 

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