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009415.KS - Taeyoung E&C Preferred


Packer16

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Another cheap hold co preferred stock.  Taeyoung has an E&C division which provides civil/environmental engineering and architecture services to domestic public and private customers.  Other major subsidiaries include SBS Media (the largest media and television firm in Korea), the largest tank terminal in Korea, golf courses, a resort and water park and water treatment JV with SK which is being gov't funded as a Korea champion of water treatment engineering.  They also own many investment securities.  The common sells for 50% of BV and estimate FV.  The preferred sells for 50% of the common.  So the preferred is 25% of FV.  The E&C industry in Korea is a low point cyclically as is the TV industry.  The look through EBITDA multiple is 3.65x for the common and 1.8x for the preferred.

 

Packer

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Packer, with all these Korean preferreds you've found, I can't imagine them individually being much of a position, percentage-wise, in your portfolio.  I'm guessing between 1%-2% each?

 

Sorry if this has already been asked (and answered) in another thread...

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Thanks for this idea.

 

Ft.com has 743 trillion Won in Long-term Investments, but according to DART it is 171 trillion Won in Investment Property, both out of 872 trillion Won in Equity.  Any clue which is the correct figure, or is Long-term Investments different from Investment Property?  Also, any clue from other reliable sources as to whether these are carried at cost or at market?  So far I've used only google and DART (getting late, and it's time for me to turn in - it took me a long time to navigate DART).

 

Apropos of west's question, would any of your Korean preferreds represent 5%, or even 10%, of your portfolio on a cost basis?  Or are they small positions in a larger basket, presumably because of the language barrier?

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The way I see the pieces is: SBS Media stake (W351 bn) plus other cash and securities (W280 bn) plus real estate ((W185 bn) less debt (W350 bn) plus engineering operations (7 * W60bn EBITDA) = W886bn.  This has some pretty conservative assumptions like a low EBITDA for E&C business and a depressed EBITDA for SBS Media.  This value divided by total shares of 79m less treasury stock of 13.5m results in shares of 65.5m.  So value per share is W13,500.  Book value is around W11,700.  Current preferred share price is W2,975.   

 

As to size my positions at cost range from 2 to 4% and I have about 7 positions for a total of about 20% now based upon value.

 

Packer

 

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The way I see the pieces is: SBS Media stake (W351 bn) plus other cash and securities (W280 bn) plus real estate ((W185 bn) less debt (W350 bn) plus engineering operations (7 * W60bn EBITDA) = W886bn.  This has some pretty conservative assumptions like a low EBITDA for E&C business and a depressed EBITDA for SBS Media.  This value divided by total shares of 79m less treasury stock of 13.5m results in shares of 65.5m.  So value per share is W13,500.  Book value is around W11,700.  Current preferred share price is W2,975.   

 

As to size my positions at cost range from 2 to 4% and I have about 7 positions for a total of about 20% now based upon value.

 

Packer

 

7 positions?!? I don't know where you find the time :)

 

Thanks for this idea! I have been looking at it since you mentioned it in another thread. This one is particularly attractive to me because it's easier to understand than some of the others you have posted.

 

S. Korea seems to be a great opportunity now, and day after day I read of a new bit of legislation or policy that is growth and shareholder friendly. The country risk premium (according to Demodaran) is pretty small, but that said the wildcard to the north does worry me a bit...

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I'm pretty sure there's a dude out there who has two accounts. In one of those accounts he sells 5 shares of 009415 for 4% to 5% lower than the previous close, and in the other he buys it. Then my guess is he tries to pick up as many shares as he can at the lower price he's created. I hate this dude. 

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