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LC - Lending Club


Vish_ram

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A fascinating company that does peer to peer lending that I'm trying to understand. I know there's an old LC discussion in general section about being a lender.

 

Trades at nosebleed valuation: market cap 9+BB, revenue 9 mos of 2014 - 143MM. lots of competitors like ondeck are IPO'ed. LC doesn't take credit risk. Both borrowers and lenders (investors) are benefiting with better rates.

 

LC has funded 6BB loans in 2014 and it is doubling every year. A big trend now is to use LC for paying credit card debt with LC loans.

 

Being long BAC, I'm wondering if traditional banks will go the way of Borders, Radio shack etc. Silicon valley has finally cracked the financial industry. If this industry plays its cards right, we'll eventually see the decline and fall of big banks. They are big, fat, dumb, happy & going to be easy targets.The millennials may finally abandon brick and mortar banks. 

 

Good reads:

sec filing prospectus

http://ir.lendingclub.com/Cache/26520686.pdf?IID=4213397&FID=26520686&O=3&OSID=9

http://www.foundationcapital.com/downloads/FoundationCap_MarketplaceLendingWhitepaper.pdf

http://www.lendacademy.com/Understanding-Peer-to-Peer-Lending.pdf

 

 

 

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Well that nosebleed valuation turns me off. But my main concerns are

 

That as they grow are they going to be able to deal with any regulatory issues? Alot of these startup type companies are kind of skirting the laws at the moment. How long before the government decides to try and regulate them?

 

They currently are very picky about who they loan money to, rejecting 90% of loan applications (based on an article from 2021 idk if that has changed). I have to imagine if they run into any trouble growing that number is going to go down.

 

What kind of moat do they have? As you mentioned there are a lot of competitors, I would imagine when it comes to loans people are pretty willing to shop around for the best rate.

 

All that asside i am a bit fascinated watching these recent tech IPOs. I am just waiting to see what kind of ridiculous valuation Uber ends up getting..

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