Jump to content

HSIC - Henry Schein


SlowAppreciation

Recommended Posts

Anyone looked at this company before? Large distributor in: dental, animal health, and medical (rev split 50/30/20). Both ends of the funnel are fragmented (many suppliers and many end customers), but with 2-3 distributors controlling most of the dental and vet supply markets.

 

It's not cheap per se, but growth—both organic and via acq—has been strong for many years. Returns on capital are adequate, and they have reasonable levels of debt.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

One of the better quality companies I know of and seems to be perpetually expensive ...

 

Dentsply is similar and looks somewhat cheaper.

 

Very interested to hear your thoughts after research.

 

Dentsply and HSIC are very different companies. Dentsply manufactures products (they developed and manufacture one of the most popular CAD/CAM systems).  HSIC is purely distribution and software support.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't think it's actually all that overpriced right now. My DCF gets ~$150/share (10% discount rate and 5% growth rate), which is only 10% discount to current prices for a company which has secular tailwinds (aging population, increasing medical cost, geographic expansion), consistent mid-to-high teens ROE, buys back shares, is asset-light, and #1 or #2 in the markets they operate in.

 

Not cheap enough for me to take a position, but definitely one I'm keeping my eye on. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 1 month later...

HSIC is hitting my price targets, and considering the looming Amazon threat I'm deciding to sell rather than tough it out for a couple extra points. If Amazon never enters the space HSIC will continue to do very well, but it's a big unknown for me, and not a risk I'm keen on taking.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

HSIC is hitting my price targets, and considering the looming Amazon threat I'm deciding to sell rather than tough it out for a couple extra points. If Amazon never enters the space HSIC will continue to do very well, but it's a big unknown for me, and not a risk I'm keen on taking.

 

I thought Amazon entered the medical supply space a little while ago, but I haven't heard anything about how they've been doing. I looked at PDCO too, which is interesting because they seem to be pretty much the same company, but smaller. So what is it about dental and pet supplies that are so "synergistic"?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't think it's actually all that overpriced right now. My DCF gets ~$150/share (10% discount rate and 5% growth rate), which is only 10% discount to current prices for a company which has secular tailwinds (aging population, increasing medical cost, geographic expansion), consistent mid-to-high teens ROE, buys back shares, is asset-light, and #1 or #2 in the markets they operate in.

 

Not cheap enough for me to take a position, but definitely one I'm keeping my eye on.

 

5% growth rate? how the fuck do you assume a terminal growth rate that's higher than terminal GDP growth rate?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • 11 months later...
  • 3 months later...

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...