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AMC - AMC Entertainment Holdings


txvalue

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Anybody else notice the enterprise value is higher now than at the beginning of 2020?

 

https://ycharts.com/companies/AMC/enterprise_value

 

Because they have been adding debt. Compare to market cap. https://ycharts.com/companies/AMC/market_cap

 

They have also been issuing shares like crazy.  I guess I would have expected the EV to be equal or less than at the beginning of the year.

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Market cap at the beginning of the year:  ~ $775 million

 

Market cap today with the stock at $4.01:  ~ $732 million

 

 

Makes perfect sense

 

How about an update?

 

Prospectus supplement just filed: "As of January 22, 2021, there were 287,276,558 shares of Class A common stock outstanding, 51,796,784 shares of Class B common stock outstanding"

 

With the stock at $3.51 the current market cap is $1.19 billion. Makes even more sense now than it did last month.

 

 

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An oldish AMC YOLO tard-post  ???

 

www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/koexxz/amc_is_close_to_bankruptcy_an_excellent_time_to/

 

---

 

Here's a more current post that claims to have an algo that scans for popular trading subs - WARNING: the Algo got a boner for ARKK & ARKG puts.

 

www.reddit.com/r/investing/comments/l3z5jq/i_created_an_algo_that_tracks_the_most_hyped/

 

www.reddit.com/r/thetagang/comments/l1zbnt/arkg_selling_puts/

 

---

 

Meanwhile, I add a little BRK

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This thread is such a surreal turn of events. From (what I thought was) deep value, to value destruction, to global pandemic to now this...

 

I thought I was pretty clever leaving just a few options in and rolling into Cinemark and Cineplex. Going to close out CNK this morning at this rate since it is already up over 3x. Everything is happening so quickly now, spend a lot of time in a name expecting a longer term investment.

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How many value investors will get bailed out by WSB by the end of this?? Kinda funny it's exactly the type of mania they've been criticizing over the years that's fueling all this.

 

So true. Looking at names like Pitney Bowes and Express, two awful businesses, spiking on the WSB game, is just amazing.

 

On the other hand, on a relative value basis, these things are really cheap trading at ~1x revenue vs SNOW and other SAAS plays. /s

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  • 4 months later...
10 hours ago, hasilp89 said:

AMC raising more cash. Beware Aron is going on the offensive.

 

image.png.9d791b779229186e6517af8e502c7849.png

Ha, well to be fair his past growth plans have been “offensive” to shareholders! This guy certainly has 9 lives. 

Ever the PE type CEO, interested to see if this means taking a run at someone like Cineplex. Not sure what else it could be, new builds would be crazy with material costs at these levels and their debt load.

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They sure have.


First in our sights are the strongest Arclight/Pacific theatres that will not re-open due to pandemic pressures. No one is out of the woods yet, but we like AMC’s improved liquidity, the increases of vaccinated people and the imminent release of new blockbuster movies. {4 of 5}”

never heard of them.

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I tried to be too clever and shorted a few OTM June calls before the big move from $44-70. I don't hate the position as even at the peak it's less than 1% exposure so I should be able to ride it out, but I hate losing 500% in an hour. At this point AMC is above the peak market cap GME had back at 500, not even considering the extra debt. And with the options so crazy expensive it's hard to imagine a big gamma squeeze higher. Even OTM calls two weeks out cost like 40% of the stock price, so it's not like people can buy hundreds of them.

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Has anyone given thought to the possibility that Mudrick was/is actually short AMC? Bought the shares directly as a hedge/buy in and then in classic hedge fund style sold it off profitably to put the trade back on and thought the publicity around their move and statement would facilitate a drop? There seems(speculating here) to be more going on than the surface implies. 20% short interest isnt really "that" big unless its concentrated. 

I was looking at the Friday calls today, and really wanted to speculate but with AMC at $39 I was like "nah, $3 for a $50 call expiring Friday is nuts"....and passed....Oh well. As always, the only way to make money on these types of things, consistently and in a reasonably risk adjusted way, is generally to short very near dated OTM puts. 

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Issuing shares again, with the pace of this dilution and their stated goal to play offense they are going to have to acquire circuits much larger than Pacific/Arclight, there are probably 10 locations in that mix of value and several of those locations are going to have multiple interested groups. To back into this type of elevated EV they are going to have to buy much larger things if they are not going to pay down debt.

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14 hours ago, Gregmal said:

Has anyone given thought to the possibility that Mudrick was/is actually short AMC? Bought the shares directly as a hedge/buy in and then in classic hedge fund style sold it off profitably to put the trade back on and thought the publicity around their move and statement would facilitate a drop? There seems(speculating here) to be more going on than the surface implies. 20% short interest isnt really "that" big unless its concentrated. 

I was looking at the Friday calls today, and really wanted to speculate but with AMC at $39 I was like "nah, $3 for a $50 call expiring Friday is nuts"....and passed....Oh well. As always, the only way to make money on these types of things, consistently and in a reasonably risk adjusted way, is generally to short very near dated OTM puts. 

purchasing shares in an offering to cover a short is generally not permitted. 

https://www.sec.gov/divisions/marketreg/tmcompliance/regmrule105-secg.htm

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