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NVST - Envista


Liberty

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I'm definitely interested in this one. Both Envista and Align earn similar returns on capital but Align is growing much faster (though decelerating due to patent loss). I'm trying to think about how to value Envista relative to a company like Align. What is that extra growth (and likely better business quality) worth?

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Well at first glance you can certainly see why Danaher is spinning this off.  Revenue growth is pretty much zero (or negative) and operating earnings in 2018 were below those of 2014 (and continue to decline in 1Q).  I'm not sure what turns this around given the competition in the space.  Invisilign type products are hugely popular and growing but are rapidly becoming a commodity that will not only compete on price but likely cannibalize more expensive, higher margin procedures. 

 

I can't wait to see where this trades out of the blocks.

 

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