KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 (edited) I did an A-Z search for all Canadian stocks I consider "investment grade" in Canada (criteria below). I found 47 companies worth further investigation: Royalty: LULU BYD.TO ATD-B.TO DOL.TO CSU.TO Nobility: CCL-B.TO MTY.TO GIL.TO QSR.TO GIB-A.TO BMO.TO CM.TO BNS.TO OTEX.TO CTC-A.TO SJ.TO RCH.TO TD.TO SAP.TO RY.TO TIH.TO T.TO ENGH.TO WPK.TO X.TO CP.TO CNR.TO BCE.TO STN.TO RCI-B.TO MRU.TO RBA.TO Jesters GOOS.TO RX.V CGY.TO AND.TO SIS.TO DSG.TO CIGI.TO ATZ.TO PBH.TO GUD.TO BAM-A.TO FSV.TO JWEL.TO SHOP.TO KXS.TO REAL.TO TOI.V Criteria: Royalty - long history of >15% EPS growth. World class returns. Nobility - long history of steady growth Jesters - More speculative companies. Growth companies, small caps, shorter history, less earnings stability. Excludes: Oil & Gas Mining Cyclicals (auto, airlines especially) Pipelines (some of these are probably worthy of nobility status) Utilities REITs and income trusts Financials (except Big 5 banks) Most small caps (looking for companies with predictable earnings) Most companies on the venture exchange Marijuana stocks Biotechs (these are almost always dumpster fires in Canada) h/t to Shalab who started a similar thread here: https://www.cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum/general-discussion/great-canada-based-companies/ My list is meant to be more comprehensive, but also excludes many of the commodity and cyclical companies discussed on Shalab's thread. Edited April 5, 2021 by KCLarkin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
petec Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 RBA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 Are there any great companies I missed? There were a few stocks on the bubble (QIS, Loblaw's, Enbridge, insurers) that didn't make the cut. I turned up only two companies that I wasn't familiar with: Jamieson Wellness - Leader in vitamins and other natural products Andlauer Healthcare - Leader in healthcare distribution and logistics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 RBA. I excluded due to modest cyclicality, but probably deserves a spot. Added. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
longlake95 Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 TFII - Transforce. Best of breed in a mediocre industry. Great outsider CEO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 Attached are the stocks still down at least 20% from 52 week highs. A few potential opportunities on that list: MTY -64%. A collection of third tier franchise restaurants, with a heavy tilt to mall food courts. Legendary CEO recently retired. Seems like a pass to me. GIL -63%. Low cost producer of t-shirts etc. Imprintables market is dead due to bans on large gatherings. Very interesting. Big 5 banks. Canadian Tire -37%. Don't love it, but it is very cheap and very close to an essential service in Canada. Colliers -37%. Commercial real estate. I'm not too familiar with it, but I know it has fans here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 TFII - Transforce. Best of breed in a mediocre industry. Great outsider CEO. Agree with your assessment, but earnings are too lumpy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SharperDingaan Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 You might want to re-think the purpose of this list. Simply because a great many of Canada's best companies are private, and at least as big as some of those on this list. Obvious omissions are Irving Oil, McCains, Power Corp, Portland Holdings, Mannix, Jim Patterson Group, etc. You buy the shares of their major suppliers, or you work for them. SD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 You might want to re-think the purpose of this list. Simply because a great many of Canada's best companies are private, and at least as big as some of those on this list. Obvious omissions are Irving Oil, McCains, Power Corp, Portland Holdings, Mannix, Jim Patterson Group, etc. You buy the shares of their major suppliers, or you work for them. I'm only looking for publicly traded companies. Not a fan of Canada's public conglomerates. I made a small exception for BAM, but it is in the speculative pile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clutch Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 KEG-UN.TO. Although it's real murky what the future holds for the restaurant business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranski Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 Good list, thanks. There was a Jan 20/2018 post by shalab Titled Great Canada based companies which had some discussion also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 KEG-UN.TO. Although it's real murky what the future holds for the restaurant business. Strong aversion to income trusts. The restaurant trusts (AW, BP, pizza pizza) are interesting but I didn’t see anything good enough to overcome my aversion. Would rather just own QSR. For those interested in income, a separate list of REITs, income trusts, utilities, and pipelines would be interesting. But not my area of expertise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beerbaron Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 Richelieu Hardware fits my list of great companies. BeerBaron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cigarbutt Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 Richelieu Hardware fits my list of great companies. BeerBaron Not much being said here about RCH although it was included in the list above. In October 2009, you had mentioned: I own Richelieu as well I think it has even more value then what people think. The management is great and has proved that it is focused and risk averse. It is determined to add new SKUs every year, they have 55 000 SKUs right now. I see that as their moat, no other supplier could come up with 55 000 SKUs in a short period and not being a drag on inventories and operations. They can just buy other distributors for their client base, implement their software and increase the returns almost immediately with all the new SKUs added. The bonus...as said in the last conference call, they can change their pricing overnight (except with special accounts). At one point RCH represented 25% of my portfolio, I would not sell those shares for a short term profit, this is no cigar butts. Same old story but now they have 110k SKUs and have doubled their sales. It is reasonable to expect doubling of sales within the next 10 years (US expansion) and a significant variable in the equation is the price that the market will offer when they use free cash flow to buy back shares. Another consideration is the CEO who may be difficult to replicate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted May 4, 2020 Author Share Posted May 4, 2020 Richelieu Hardware fits my list of great companies. BeerBaron Not much being said here about RCH although it was included in the list above. In October 2009, you had mentioned: I own Richelieu as well I think it has even more value then what people think. The management is great and has proved that it is focused and risk averse. It is determined to add new SKUs every year, they have 55 000 SKUs right now. I see that as their moat, no other supplier could come up with 55 000 SKUs in a short period and not being a drag on inventories and operations. They can just buy other distributors for their client base, implement their software and increase the returns almost immediately with all the new SKUs added. The bonus...as said in the last conference call, they can change their pricing overnight (except with special accounts). At one point RCH represented 25% of my portfolio, I would not sell those shares for a short term profit, this is no cigar butts. Same old story but now they have 110k SKUs and have doubled their sales. It is reasonable to expect doubling of sales within the next 10 years (US expansion) and a significant variable in the equation is the price that the market will offer when they use free cash flow to buy back shares. Another consideration is the CEO who may be difficult to replicate. Thanks for the summary! I'm not too familiar with RCH. Maybe door knobs are too boring? This does look a very good business (I like boring). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beerbaron Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 Richelieu Hardware fits my list of great companies. BeerBaron Not much being said here about RCH although it was included in the list above. In October 2009, you had mentioned: I own Richelieu as well I think it has even more value then what people think. The management is great and has proved that it is focused and risk averse. It is determined to add new SKUs every year, they have 55 000 SKUs right now. I see that as their moat, no other supplier could come up with 55 000 SKUs in a short period and not being a drag on inventories and operations. They can just buy other distributors for their client base, implement their software and increase the returns almost immediately with all the new SKUs added. The bonus...as said in the last conference call, they can change their pricing overnight (except with special accounts). At one point RCH represented 25% of my portfolio, I would not sell those shares for a short term profit, this is no cigar butts. Same old story but now they have 110k SKUs and have doubled their sales. It is reasonable to expect doubling of sales within the next 10 years (US expansion) and a significant variable in the equation is the price that the market will offer when they use free cash flow to buy back shares. Another consideration is the CEO who may be difficult to replicate. Well, I never tough someone would quote me from 2009! Not sure how you manage to find that one in memory lane but my theory did not change on this one, although it did not perform like a rocket, it's been a steady train going in the same direction. I sleep well with that one. BeerBaron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted May 5, 2020 Author Share Posted May 5, 2020 MTY results less bad than I expected. They are hoping to be cash flow neutral by Q3. I haven't looked at debt covenants yet, but this might be worth a speculative bet. Still down 66% from 52 week high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
samwise Posted May 11, 2020 Share Posted May 11, 2020 MTY results less bad than I expected. They are hoping to be cash flow neutral by Q3. I haven't looked at debt covenants yet, but this might be worth a speculative bet. Still down 66% from 52 week high. Do you like the business though? I thought it was better when they focused on food courts in Canada, with no leverage. If you owned half the food court, you had a monopoly, almost. Now they sell pizza in US street side stores. Not the same business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted May 11, 2020 Author Share Posted May 11, 2020 MTY results less bad than I expected. They are hoping to be cash flow neutral by Q3. I haven't looked at debt covenants yet, but this might be worth a speculative bet. Still down 66% from 52 week high. Do you like the business though? I thought it was better when they focused on food courts in Canada, with no leverage. If you owned half the food court, you had a monopoly, almost. Now they sell pizza in US street side stores. Not the same business. There is a thread here: https://www.cornerofberkshireandfairfax.ca/forum/investment-ideas/mty-mty-food-group/msg408105/#msg408105 I sold after the Kahala acquisition with similar concerns to yours (I was wrong). For me, MTY was a jockey bet and Ma has retired, so I don't follow closely anymore. Quick serve restaurants will rebound quickly. Food courts won't. I own Domino's and QSR in size, so not buying MTY. But any stock down 66% with a track record like MTY seems like a speculative opportunity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarioP Posted May 12, 2020 Share Posted May 12, 2020 MTY results less bad than I expected. They are hoping to be cash flow neutral by Q3. I haven't looked at debt covenants yet, but this might be worth a speculative bet. Still down 66% from 52 week high. Do you like the business though? I thought it was better when they focused on food courts in Canada, with no leverage. If you owned half the food court, you had a monopoly, almost. Now they sell pizza in US street side stores. Not the same business. I didn’t liked it too but it is probably what save them right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xerxes Posted May 12, 2020 Share Posted May 12, 2020 I owned Couche Tard for some years now. Even went their AGM in Laval last Sept. Full alignment with the owner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonchin Posted May 18, 2020 Share Posted May 18, 2020 DOO.TO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCLarkin Posted May 20, 2020 Author Share Posted May 20, 2020 DOO.TO It is too cyclical for me, but probably deserves a spot on the speculative list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonchin Posted May 24, 2020 Share Posted May 24, 2020 DOO.TO It is too cyclical for me, but probably deserves a spot on the speculative list. Another one to monitor in BAD.TO. In a fragmented industry however, the largest. It has a fairly good ROE. Can be a stable long-term hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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