Packer16 Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 Since Sadar was able to find and turn around Steak-n-Shake, I thought I would look to see if there were any other quality inexpensive restaurant stocks. I found three that I would like to see what others think. These include: Carrols (a BK franchisee with 2 other Hispanic concepts) trading at 4.8x EBITDA and 6.1x FCF, Rubio's (Mexican Seafood Chain) at 5.5x EBITDA and Noble Roman's (a pure franchise company) at 6.2x FCF. The only one I have personnel experience with was Rubio's, who provided a great alternative to fast food restaurants. Packer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCG Posted March 27, 2010 Share Posted March 27, 2010 The restaurants I like most and think have a strong future are Chipotle, Buffalo Wild Wings and BJ's. If Brinker would spin off Maggiano's, I'd be all over that, but right now, with only around 40 Maggiano's locations, it makes up a very small amount of Brinker and they don't seem to have very fast growth plans for it. I'm not saying that any of these are great buys right now though. Chipotle is still pretty fairliy priced, in my opinion, though. And not sure it's considered a restaurant stock (and it's fast growth is behind it) but I really like Starbuck's. It's stock price is currently more than I'm looking to pay, but I'm impressed with the competitive advantage they've shown over the last couple years. Coffee is obviosly a very competitive industry with a very low barrier to entry, but Starbuck's has shown the ability to raise prices without losing sales. And one other example that shows the moat that they have: In the office I work in (which is a pretty large building for a large corporation), there is free coffee in multiple locations on every floor in the building and a mini Starbucks on the 1st Floor. I'd say a good majority of the coffee drinkers here buy their coffee from Starbucks every day. They are competing with free in the same building and still get a lot of business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Viking Posted March 28, 2010 Share Posted March 28, 2010 Another way to play the restaurant industry is SYSCO. They are the largest food service distributor in North America and very profitable with some strong competitive advantages (such as a very developed private label program). Stock is reasonably priced with good dividend yield. From current levels you should be able to earn 8 to 10% per year; solid and boring. Key risk is if we enter recession part 2; the restaurant business is not a great place to be when consumers cut back... This is an even better play for Canadian investors given how high the CAN$ is trading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
collegeinvestor Posted March 28, 2010 Share Posted March 28, 2010 Out of curiosity how do you figure that the company will double in the next 7.2 years? What is driving this view? Are you basing this figure on growth (vertically and horizontally)? This company looks very capital-intensive just looking at the balance sheet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmallCap Posted April 9, 2010 Share Posted April 9, 2010 I am really interested in Noble Romans which is another Indianapolis based restaurant chain, I really like the pure franchise model that they have. Does anyone have any opinion on them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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