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Apple Car Exclusive: Experts Look At What Could Be A Game-Changer

 

http://www.motortrend.com/news/apple-car-exclusive/#.Vw-kFaVbOQU.twitter

 

Cheers,

 

 

Gio

 

"Experts"  ;D

 

Anyone who drew up those designs as being a game changer really isnt paying attention to why people like Teslas.

 

Trolling for pageviews. This says more about Motortrend and those people than about Apple. Just a bunch of guys brainstorming...

 

Lots of Apple execs, including Jony Ive, are car people. They would never be seen in a dork box. These guys drive Porsches and Mercedes and Ferraris and Rolls Royces... (probably Teslas too).

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Trolling for pageviews. This says more about Motortrend and those people than about Apple. Just a bunch of guys brainstorming...

 

Lots of Apple execs, including Jony Ive, are car people. They would never be seen in a dork box. These guys drive Porsches and Mercedes and Ferraris and Rolls Royces... (probably Teslas too).

 

Yes, disappointing.  The way they were hyping the article I though that they had uncovered some actual information.  Instead it is a bunch of idiots speculating.  Hell, I can do that well enough on my own.  I can probably draw a sketch of a more attractive car than what they came up with too.  This article had zero value.

 

 

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Trolling for pageviews. This says more about Motortrend and those people than about Apple. Just a bunch of guys brainstorming...

 

Lots of Apple execs, including Jony Ive, are car people. They would never be seen in a dork box. These guys drive Porsches and Mercedes and Ferraris and Rolls Royces... (probably Teslas too).

 

Yes, disappointing.  The way they were hyping the article I though that they had uncovered some actual information.  Instead it is a bunch of idiots speculating.  Hell, I can do that well enough on my own.  I can probably draw a sketch of a more attractive car than what they came up with too.  This article had zero value.

 

I thought the idea of the car becoming your personal assistant was interesting and the idea of the augmented reality windshield to be interesting too. Though probably neither of them are new.

 

Cheers,

 

Gio

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I do own a watch and love it. I had a fitbit before and the area of fitness tracking is what is love the best about the watch. I will upgrade when new version comes out. I own all Mac devices except for iPad Pro and usually am on the latest version of OS and device.

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I have one and I love it! I have to wear it everyday now. I really like the buzz notification (wechat, slack, gmail, phone call, map turn, etc.) when I do not have phone open. Feel interesting when the watch touches my wrist when I am driving. The watch touches me differently for left turn or right turn or email notifications. :-)

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Who in this thread actually owns the Watch?

 

Yo.  I use it every day and it’s handy.  I don’t find it to be lifechanging or anything but it does save me time and effort.  I’m looking forward to it having more power and speed in the future.

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Who in this thread actually owns the Watch?

 

I owned one, but ended up returning it to buy the FitBit blaze.  The fitness features were the important part of having a wearable, and Apple's fitness features are pretty lackluster.  FitBit's are miles ahead in that regard.

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Who in this thread actually owns the Watch?

 

I have one. I wear it everyday. It's convenient, but not necessary. The main thing I use it for is to check the weather quickly, see my calendar events for the day and track how many miles I walk. I never cared about tracking my mileage until I had the apple watch, but it's interesting to see. Turns out I typically walk 25-30 miles a week from my work. It's neat to see all the data and graphs.

 

All that being said, I got mine for free. My Dad bought it and didn't like it so he gave it to me. I would pay $100 for one, but not $400.

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Apple earnings anyone?

 

 

http://www.apple.com/pr/library/2016/04/26Apple-Reports-Second-Quarter-Results.html

 

As part of the updated program, the Board has increased its share repurchase authorization to $175 billion from the $140 billion level announced last year. The Company also expects to continue to net-share-settle vesting restricted stock units.

 

The Board has approved an increase of 10 percent to the Company’s quarterly dividend, and has declared a dividend of $.57 per share, payable on May 12, 2016 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on May 9, 2016.

 

 

Big drop in greater China. A concern?

 

http://images.apple.com/pr/pdf/q2fy16datasum.pdf

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Apple clearly has lumpy results. Fiscal 2015 with the 6 and 6 plus clearly was an outlier (40% growth). The key now is trying to understand what sales look like moving forward. The 7 launch in the fall does not look like it will have any wow features so we could see slow growth in fiscal 2017. The short term risk for Apple is if people hold on to their phones longer (even one of two months longer on average)... This could make revenue growth a challenge until the next wow feature. Great company; fantastic products; very profitable and cheap. However, the catalyst to drive shares higher could be more than a year away.

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Apple clearly has lumpy results. Fiscal 2015 with the 6 and 6 plus clearly was an outlier (40% growth). The key now is trying to understand what sales look like moving forward. The 7 launch in the fall does not look like it will have any wow features so we could see slow growth in fiscal 2017. The short term risk for Apple is if people hold on to their phones longer (even one of two months longer on average)... This could make revenue growth a challenge until the next wow feature. Great company; fantastic products; very profitable and cheap. However, the catalyst to drive shares higher could be more than a year away.

 

How do you know the 7 won't have "wow" features?

 

One interesting thing to note: A lot (most?) people are still on a 2-year update cycle. Since the 6 year was such an anomalous spike, the 7 year should get the "echo" of that year, which could boost results.

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Apple clearly has lumpy results. Fiscal 2015 with the 6 and 6 plus clearly was an outlier (40% growth). The key now is trying to understand what sales look like moving forward. The 7 launch in the fall does not look like it will have any wow features so we could see slow growth in fiscal 2017. The short term risk for Apple is if people hold on to their phones longer (even one of two months longer on average)... This could make revenue growth a challenge until the next wow feature. Great company; fantastic products; very profitable and cheap. However, the catalyst to drive shares higher could be more than a year away.

 

How do you know the 7 won't have "wow" features?

 

One interesting thing to note: A lot (most?) people are still on a 2-year update cycle. Since the 6 year was such an anomalous spike, the 7 year should get the "echo" of that year, which could boost results.

 

Liberty,

 

What if the 2-year cycle changes?  What data do you have to justify the 2-year cycle will continue?  I think it is hard to see greater than modest growth from AAPL over the next several years.

 

Logan 

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Liberty, my comment on iPhone 7 likely not having a 'wow' feature was simply a guess. It is getting much more difficult for Apple to surprise us (due to leaks). Ming-Chi Kuo of KGI has a pretty decent track record and he feels the 7 will not have many attractive selling points. Yes, we will not know until September. Here is the link I read: http://appleinsider.com/articles/16/04/24/kgi-says-iphone-7-wont-have-many-attractive-selling-points-predicts-competitors-will-outperform-apple

 

Regarding replacement, without a 'wow' feature I wonder if many who purchased the 6 and 6 plus will simply hold on to the devices and wait to upgrade especially given that many were purchased with extra storage.

 

The challenges with iPad sales the past two years has surprised me and provides a watch out for Apple investors. I don't think iPad is losing sales to a competitor; the products are built so well and they perform so well people are not upgrading them. I have 4 iPads in the house and they are all a couple of years old and still performing exceptionally well so I have no plans to upgrade any of them. If iPhone 7 does not have a 'wow' feature the risk to Apple is sales could stagnate for another year (into 2017). Apple will still own the premium segment; they just will struggle to show a much of a year over year increase in unit sales. And with the SE launch Apple risks cannibalizing iPhone with a lower priced product (think iPad mini) and this may help on the unit front but will hurt on the GM front.

 

All of this will result in shares getting cheap again. And then at some point in time Apple will launch a 'wow' iPhone and sales will spike and we will be off to the races again and the stock will double. If you look at Apple this is what happens every 2 or 3 years (the last decade anyways).

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Guest roark33

Whenever people talk about "no catalyst" for more than a year on a company that produces a lot of cash and has no net debt (or only modest growth), I think....go ahead and play the quarterly earnings game....I will sit back and watch the cash roll in...

 

I don't own it yet, but.....

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