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AIG - American International Group


PlanMaestro

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Oops, my mistake... 8 years not 6. 

 

Don't forget, this will also be combined with a share repurchase program.  We still have 6 more years left in the warrants so plenty of time for dividend adjustments!  :)

 

Tks,

S

 

Here you go racemize

 

Thanks!

 

Looks like they peg the dividend right at the warrant threshold - I guess it will be good for price appreciation, but that's the highest level without any adjustments!  somewhat painful...

 

Warrants expire in 2021, so we have close to 8 years left. That's A LOT of time.

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Here you go racemize

 

Thanks dcollon.  Re: ILFC:

 

While AIG is in possession of a $422 million deposit, this should not be construed

as a break-up fee under most circumstances. We expect that AIG would have to return

the deposit if the deal is not consummated.

 

Is this common practice?  What's the point of requesting deposits if they need to be returned?

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Thanks as I am definitely looking to add to my AIG warrant position...  :)

 

Tks,

S

 

Ben Benmosche:

 

Higher interest rates will be a negative at some point, particularly for the annuities business, but "for the first 100 to 200 basis points, it's going to be a big positive not only for AIG" but most insurers, he said.

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ILFC Focused on Speedy Sale to China Group

 

International Lease Finance Corp. (ILFC), the plane-leasing unit of American International Group Inc. (AIG), said it remains intent on completing its delayed sale to a Chinese group for about $4.2 billion.

“We are doing everything we can to reach a speedy conclusion,” ILFC Chief Executive Officer Henri Courpron said today in an interview. “But complicated deals take time.”

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-27/ilfc-focused-on-speedy-sale-to-china-group-ceo-courpron-says.html

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Thanks for this.  We all knew GE and AIG were systemically important organizations. Wasn't prudential also tagged as well? I am also very surprised how Berkshire Hathaway was not tagged either.

 

S

 

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Judge Says Bernanke Should Testify in A.I.G. Case

2013-07-29 NYTimes.com

 

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/07/29/judge-says-bernanke-should-testify-in-a-i-g-case/

 

A federal judge said on Monday that Mr. Bernanke should have to give a deposition in a lawsuit being brought by the former chief executive of A.I.G., Maurice R. Greenberg, over the rescue of the giant insurer. Testimony from the Fed chairman would “unquestionably” be relevant to the case, Judge Thomas C. Wheeler of the United States Court of Federal Claims said.

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AIG stock is surging in after-hours trading after the company said it would resume paying a dividend and would resume buying back stock.

 

The insurer announced a 10-cent-per-share dividend and a $1 billion share buyback.

 

For the second quarter, AIG reported earnings of $1.12 a share on $8.35 billion in revenue. While earnings beat forecasts for 85 cents per share, revenue missed estimates for $8.62 billion.

 

In the year-earlier quarter, AIG earned 96 cents per share on revenue of $8.82 billion.

 

 

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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-08-01/aig-announces-first-dividend-since-2008-as-profit-climbs-17-.html

 

...

 

.Book Value

Book value, a measure of assets minus liabilities, fell to $66.02 per share at the end of the second quarter from $67.41 three months earlier. Rising interest rates pressured the value of AIG’s bond portfolio, and contributed to book-value drops at MetLife Inc. and Travelers Cos.

 

Benmosche has reduced debt at AIG to secure the company’s credit grade. He’s said the company needed to cut leverage before returning capital to shareholders. AIG is a “stronger, simpler, more focused company,” he said in the statement.

 

...

 

 

AIG reached a deal in May with People’s Insurance Company Group of China Ltd. for a joint venture to sell life insurance in China. Last year, AIG took a $500 million stake in PICC’s property-casualty unit.

 

AIG last month named Jim Dwane to run the property-casualty business in Latin America and the Caribbean, as P&C head Peter Hancock filled posts vacated by defections to Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/A) The insurer also shifted managers to bolster growth in Brazil.

 

 

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Can Eric or anyone explain why the warrants have been underperforming the stock for some time? The cost of leverage now is only 6.2%. Of course, with the new dividend, that # is higher, but it's still pretty cheap, especially compared to the BAC class A warrants which are at 9.2%.

 

The cost of leverage in BAC warrants will keep falling as well, as the stock rises. 

 

These are the risks of buying 6 or 8 years of leverage prepaid when you expect a large rise in the stock.  You know about the effects of skewness on option pricing.  So... if you expect the stock to shoot up then you need to protect yourself by shortening the duration of your option contracts.

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