jeffmori7 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 A quick check on http://www.shcrealty.com/ shows that there are 3077 operating store opportunities and 120 closed store opportunities. It appears that while Sears are closing a lot of store, they have difficulties selling, leasing, subleasing, transforming them at the same pace. So except for leases not renewed, the story is not always over once the closure or transformation is announced. we should try to keep track of those numbers over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peridotcapital Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 So I guess Best Buy is taking a lot of share from Sears... BBY's appliance comps for the holiday season were +16.9%, and that was on top of +10.7% the year before. One of the only bright spots in their otherwise dismal report. Of course, many of those sales were likely helped by price cutting and at very low margin... not good for BBY or SHLD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisdom Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 SHLD has been trying to get out of electronics. Home Depot and Lowes have been hurting their home appliance sales. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luke 532 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 SHLD has been trying to get out of electronics. Home Depot and Lowes have been hurting their home appliance sales. Couple quotes from August of last year regarding electronics... http://www.nugget.ca/2013/08/09/sears-unveils-fresh-look "Gone from the department store are electronics and window coverings – which are still available in its catalogue and online – in favour of an expanded selection of other products including appliances and mattresses." http://www.postcrescent.com/article/20130820/APC0301/308200292/The-Buzz-Sears-Outlet-open-shortly?nclick_check=1 "The store’s stock will change weekly, but focuses mostly on home appliances and apparel. It doesn’t have TVs or computers." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCG Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 SHLD has been trying to get out of electronics. Home Depot and Lowes have been hurting their home appliance sales. They should get out of clothing and apparal. Who goes clothes shopping at Sears? I looked in Sears a couple times lately for both a TV and a Dishwasher. Their TVs were a good amount more expensive than both Best Buy & Amazon (for the same TVs), and both Lowes and Home Depot had similar dishwasher options at lower prices than Sears. Sears' brands aren't that valuable. There are plenty of alternatives. They need to be able to compete on price, and they currently don't/can't. It's not like people shop at Sears or K-Mart for the shopping experience (their stores are disasters). Why exactly should people shop at Sears & K-Mart instead of places like Home Depot, Lowes, Amazon, Best Buy, Macys, Walmart, & Target? It's certainly not for their service. I have a hard time finding someone to help me every time I go into Sears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luke 532 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 King of Prussia Lease Agreement with Dick's: http://searsholdings.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=16310&item=137262 Looks like this Seeking Alpha writer was on to something: http://seekingalpha.com/article/1919971-a-visit-to-the-front-lines-of-the-sears-holdings-cold-war Just FYI, if you want to research the website of Dick's Sporting Goods, make sure to include "Sporting Goods" in the URL. A few years ago a friend of mine forgot to do that and, let's just say, had a very unpleasant surprise. :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peridotcapital Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 King of Prussia Lease Agreement with Dick's: http://searsholdings.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=16310&item=137262 Looks like this Seeking Alpha writer was on to something: http://seekingalpha.com/article/1919971-a-visit-to-the-front-lines-of-the-sears-holdings-cold-war Has SHLD itself put out a press release of this nature before (with the Whole Foods leases, etc)? I don't recall seeing one from them directly, which is interesting because it signals the company may now be more willing to talk about things they are doing, especially after the latest share price reset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luke 532 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 King of Prussia Lease Agreement with Dick's: http://searsholdings.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=16310&item=137262 Looks like this Seeking Alpha writer was on to something: http://seekingalpha.com/article/1919971-a-visit-to-the-front-lines-of-the-sears-holdings-cold-war Has SHLD itself put out a press release of this nature before (with the Whole Foods leases, etc)? I don't recall seeing one from them directly, which is interesting because it signals the company may now be more willing to talk about things they are doing, especially after the latest share price reset. SHLD press releases: not that I know of. It does seem like they're more open to talk about what's going on. Lampert launching his blog recently might be another indication of that openness. And didn't they mention recently that they were going to try to make the company easier to understand via financial reports? Don't remember where I read that (don't think I saved it in my notes). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ERICOPOLY Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Lampert launching his blog recently might be another indication of that openness. Except that (after the few face-sucking comments from Sears employees), you see this down at the bottom of each page of his blog "Comments are closed." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTShine Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 He might close the comments a few days after the blog post is published. His late Dec. post had closed the comments once his second post was up. We will see. Cheers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTShine Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 The King of Prussia Mall sold to Simon a few years ago. Valuation was around $500 a square foot. The Sears property could be worth $100 million; the sublet could be worth $50 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luke 532 Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Lampert launching his blog recently might be another indication of that openness. Except that (after the few face-sucking comments from Sears employees), you see this down at the bottom of each page of his blog "Comments are closed." I wasn't surprised at all by that. He would get about 100 comments a day from just random people. Not engaging in back-and-forth with random people doesn't mean he isn't willing to be open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTShine Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Did anyone notice that JCP said its closing of 33 stores, and layoffs of 2,000, will reduce expenses by about $65 million? As a data point for SHLD, this works out to about $2 million in savings per closed JCP store. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-01-15/j-c-penney-to-cut-2-000-jobs-while-closing-33-stores.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thinkpad Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I did nt see the news in previous message. Sorry if it is a duplicate. https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-reviews-for-downgrade-trademark-royalty-securitization-issued-by-KCD--PR_290656?WT.mc_id=NLTITLE_YYYYMMDD_PR_290656&un_jtt_redirect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alertmeipp Posted January 16, 2014 Author Share Posted January 16, 2014 looking at bby and others, shld actually doesnt look as bad as once thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mephistopheles Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Does anyone have a copy of the 2nd Bishop Analytics report from Seeking Alpha? I haven't read it yet, and now it's only available to PRO subscribers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
texual Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Is this price action suggesting another short squeeze? i would not mind buying stock just to catch the trend, average down time! Anyone else buying shares? Is SHLD really any different from last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adesigar Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Is this price action suggesting another short squeeze? i would not mind buying stock just to catch the trend, average down time! Anyone else buying shares? Is SHLD really any different from last year? No one knows what it really is. Could be short squeeze or maybe share buyback or maybe FAIRX buying more. Basically could be any no of things. I bought more shares. Now 24% is in SHLD. Wanted to add even more under 30 but that never happened :( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plato1976 Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 25% in SHLD !!!! you are my hero ...... Is this price action suggesting another short squeeze? i would not mind buying stock just to catch the trend, average down time! Anyone else buying shares? Is SHLD really any different from last year? No one knows what it really is. Could be short squeeze or maybe share buyback or maybe FAIRX buying more. Basically could be any no of things. I bought more shares. Now 24% is in SHLD. Wanted to add even more under 30 but that never happened :( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muscleman Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Is this price action suggesting another short squeeze? i would not mind buying stock just to catch the trend, average down time! Anyone else buying shares? Is SHLD really any different from last year? No one knows what it really is. Could be short squeeze or maybe share buyback or maybe FAIRX buying more. Basically could be any no of things. I bought more shares. Now 24% is in SHLD. Wanted to add even more under 30 but that never happened :( What made you so confident? Do you expect some short term catalyst? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mephistopheles Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 I have an accounting question about the debt, if someone wouldn't mind helping point out what I'm missing here. In 3Q they took out a $1 billion term loan which they said will be used to pay down part of the revolver and that the borrowings outstanding under the revolver after this transaction was $1 billion. "The net proceeds of the Incremental Term Loan were used to reduce borrowings under the Revolving Facility, which resulted in borrowings outstanding under the Revolving Facility of approximately $1.0 billion." But according to the 3Q 10-Q, they had $1.6 billion in revolver borrowings outstanding: "At November 2, 2013, October 27, 2012 and February 2, 2013, we had $1.6 billion, $1.5 billion and $749 million, respectively, of Revolving Facility borrowings and $684 million, $779 million and $754 million, respectively, of letters of credit outstanding under the Revolving Facility. As a result, our availability under the Revolving Facility was $1.0 billion at November 2, 2013, $1.0 billion at October 27, 2012 and $1.8 billion at February 2, 2013. The majority of the letters of credit outstanding are used to provide collateral for our insurance programs. At November 2, 2013, we had $1.0 billion of borrowings under the Term Loan." Also, in the 2Q 10-Q, they had about the same outstanding and availability as in 3Q: "At August 3, 2013, July 28, 2012 and February 2, 2013, we had $1.5 billion, $941 million and $749 million, respectively, of borrowings and $680 million, $744 million and $754 million, respectively, of letters of credit outstanding under the Domestic Credit Agreement. As a result, our availability under the agreement was $1.1 billion at August 3, 2013, $1.6 billion at July 28, 2012 and $1.8 billion at February 2, 2013. The majority of the letters of credit outstanding are used to provide collateral for our insurance programs." Furthermore, the 3Q cash flow shows $1 billion proceed from debt issuance, and shows roughly $1 billion more in debt than 2Q. So my question is, where does it show where they paid down the revolver? Or is that cancelled out by an increase in borrowing the same amount before the Christmas season? And if they are saying that there is $1 billion outstanding, then why does it show $1.6 in the 10Q? Thanks in advance for being patient with me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spin Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 1/ Yes - "Or is that cancelled out by an increase in borrowing the same amount before the Christmas season?" See CFFF 'Increase in short-term borrowings, primarily 90 days or less' Which is a net increase. 2/ 1.0B refers to the availability on the facility. "And if they are saying that there is $1 billion outstanding, then why does it show $1.6 in the 10Q? Spin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
texual Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 no change in underlying asset but there is also pressure to own more from the two bigger owners. I'm keeping an eye on filings. Esl usually buys around the January lows but I don't want to miss the chance. and Fairholme can buy. no buy back for sure. any other good reasons because the actual operations are deteriorating here. SYW isn't really making me excited to own more. but there is a chance I'll miss some good prices Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luke 532 Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Murray Stahl on Sears Canada (excerpt of Q4 letter provided by Value Walk at the link below)... Stahl: How the Press Helped Put a New Stock in Our Portfolios http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/01/stahl-press-helped-put-new-stock-portfolios/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adesigar Posted January 17, 2014 Share Posted January 17, 2014 Is this price action suggesting another short squeeze? i would not mind buying stock just to catch the trend, average down time! Anyone else buying shares? Is SHLD really any different from last year? No one knows what it really is. Could be short squeeze or maybe share buyback or maybe FAIRX buying more. Basically could be any no of things. I bought more shares. Now 24% is in SHLD. Wanted to add even more under 30 but that never happened :( What made you so confident? Do you expect some short term catalyst? The catalyst was me being distracted at dinner thinking of SHLD. Wife said Cheers. I heard Sears. Decided it was time to buy more to stop being distracted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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