dcollon Posted October 31, 2013 Share Posted October 31, 2013 Cable-Cowboy Malone’s Irish Castle Signals Europe Focus http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-30/cable-cowboy-malone-s-irish-castle-signals-europe-focus.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ajc Posted November 1, 2013 Share Posted November 1, 2013 Exclusive: Charter Weighs Bid for Time Warner Cable by Year-End-Sources "NEW YORK — Charter Communications Inc is weighing a bid for Time Warner Cable Inc before the end of the year, hoping to persuade the larger cable operator to sell after rejecting an earlier overture, people familiar with the matter said..." http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2013/11/01/business/01reuters-timewarner-charter.html?hp&_r=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 4, 2013 Share Posted November 4, 2013 DB now thinks TWC will be bought out for $140ish.... Thank you Deutsche Bank - this was obvious when TWC was trading below $110. TWC_DB_Note_11.4.13.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orion Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 @bmichaud Thanks for posting. Do you maybe have some access to a research note for Liberty Global? I´m curious how LGI compares to TWC and the other cable companies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giofranchi Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Liberty Media Reports Third Quarter 2013 Financial Results ENGLEWOOD, Colo/--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Liberty Media Corporation ("Liberty Media") (Nasdaq: LMCA, LMCB) today reported third quarter 2013 results. Highlights include(1): • SiriusXM reported strong Q3 results • Subscriber base grew to 25.6 million • Revenue of $962 million, up 11% from the third quarter of 2012 • Adjusted EBITDA(2) grew 21% to $296 million • Net income of $63 million • Repurchased $1.6 billion in shares from January 1 through September 30, 2013 • Issued initial 2014 guidance; revenue of over $4.0 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.38 billion • Reached repurchase agreement with SiriusXM to repurchase $500 million of SIRI shares from Liberty Media • Acquired 5.2% of outstanding Liberty Media common stock from Comcast Corporation in October • Issued $1.0 billion principal of 1.375% Cash Convertible Senior Notes due 2023 in October "It was a busy October for Liberty. We completed a transaction with Comcast which resulted in our repurchase of 6.3 million Liberty Media shares or 5.2% of our outstanding shares which takes total repurchases to over 51%," said Greg Maffei, President and CEO of Liberty Media. "We also reached an agreement with SiriusXM for them to repurchase $500 million of their shares from us. Finally, we received a very positive response to our 1.375% convertible senior notes offering which was upsized to $1 billion from $500 million." giofranchi LMCA_News_2013_11_5_General_Releases.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liberty Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Charter's Q3: http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=112298&p=irol-newsArticle&ID=1872371&highlight= Third quarter revenues of $2.1 billion grew 5.4% on a pro forma basis1 as compared to the prior-year period, led by growth in video, Internet and commercial revenues. On an actual basis, third quarter revenue rose 12.7%, driven primarily by the acquisition of Bresnan, which closed on July 1, 2013. Pro forma for the acquisition of Bresnan, total residential customer relationships grew by 46,0002 during the quarter, versus 24,000 during the third quarter of 2012. Residential primary service units (PSUs) increased by 100,000 during the period, versus 60,000 in the year-ago quarter. Third quarter residential revenues grew 5.1% on a pro forma basis versus the third quarter of 2012, when residential revenues grew by 1.6% on a pro forma basis. Commercial revenues grew 20.4% on a pro forma basis versus the prior-year period, primarily driven by higher sales to small and medium businesses and to carrier customers. Pro forma for the acquisition of Bresnan, commercial customer relationships grew by 12,000 in the third quarter of 2013, compared to a gain of 9,000 during the third quarter of 2012. Third quarter Adjusted EBITDA3 grew by 5.3% year-over-year on a pro forma basis, reflecting higher revenue growth and slower growth in costs to service customers. On an actual basis, third quarter Adjusted EBITDA rose 12.4% year-over-year, driven primarily by the acquisition of Bresnan. Free cash flow3 for the quarter was $132 million and net cash flows from operating activities totaled $538 million. "We continue to execute well on our strategic objectives, and that's evidenced in the solid revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth we delivered in the third quarter," said Tom Rutledge, President and CEO of Charter Communications. "We've greatly improved the competitiveness of our product offering and the value we deliver to customers, which is driving growth in both our residential and commercial businesses. We are backing up our product with substantially improved service levels, an area where we will continue to invest to drive even better quality. As we head into 2014, we believe Charter is in an increasingly strong position to grow both its market share and cash flow as we accelerate our all-digital program, begin to roll out new products and take full advantage of our superior network." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Wouldn't be surprised to see some type of stock-based deal in the works for TWC - last several days TWC has mirrored CHTR's stock pice action. Notwithstanding Malone's comments about CVC having limited growth, I do not see how CVC is not ultimately rolled up into the Charter entity, if not for the margin expansion via scale economics then for the NY systems combo with TWC alone. @orion - I'll look for something on Monday, as I'm out all week. I should be able to find plenty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ItsAValueTrap Posted November 5, 2013 Author Share Posted November 5, 2013 Charter bought Bresnan from CVC. I suspect that CVC doesn't want to sell because the family that controls CVC wants to keep the business in their family. Malone will want control (he learned the hard way from AT&T). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 5, 2013 Share Posted November 5, 2013 Do you think the Dolans believe they can take on Fios and programming costs alone or would they prefer to sell out to a larger entity that could take those threats on? I'm asking seriously, because I don't know. Just seems like the chatter around the Dolans finally caving is building, and with Paulson and Gabelli owning 20% the pressure may build. Who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ItsAValueTrap Posted November 5, 2013 Author Share Posted November 5, 2013 I think I've posted this before but Netflix keeps an index of the fastest ISPs*: http://ispspeedindex.netflix.com/usa As implemented, fiber isn't always the fastest (e.g. some companies have faster service than Verizon FIOS). Fiber definitely has the potential to be the fastest, though effective performance depends on its implementation. So maybe Malone is right in saying that cable is the most economic. Right now, most cable Internet is implemented with fibre to the node. The last stretch is over a coaxial cable. Apparently coaxial cable is easier to implement than fibre because the installation is a little easier and you can do things like split up the coaxial cable. You can't do that easily with fibre- you have to run a new cable to the node or add a splitter (which is hard). *Due to throttling and other factors, Netflix speed may be different from the Internet connection's speed for everything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liberty Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Live Nation Q3: http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/live-nation-entertainment-reports-third-quarter-2013-financial-results-230707351.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest ajc Posted November 7, 2013 Share Posted November 7, 2013 Liberty Media sees beyond mergers to cable TV's kumbaya moment | Denver Business Journal "Liberty Media Corp.'s re-emergence in U.S. cable TV isn't just about pushing companies like Charter Communications Inc. and Time Warner Cable Inc. into mergers to achieve scale. Cable TV customers' experiences will start looking a lot more homogeneous if cable titan John Malone and his Liberty Media (Nasdaq: LMCA, LMCB) have their way. They want greater cooperation between cable providers over services such as home automation and security, TV channel guides, and business communication services..." http://www.bizjournals.com/denver/blog/boosters_bits/2013/11/liberty-media-sees-beyond-mergers-to.html?ana=RSS&s=article_search&utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=facebook&page=all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Interesting note on breaking up CVCAlbert_Fried__Company_CVC_Report.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Liberty Global Jefferies initiation from this October LBTYA_Jefferies_Initiation_October_2013.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liberty Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Thanks bmichaud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 11, 2013 Share Posted November 11, 2013 Ur welcome :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fareastwarriors Posted November 12, 2013 Share Posted November 12, 2013 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-12/malone-s-liberty-global-said-in-talks-to-buy-intel-s-tv-service.html Malone’s Liberty Global in Talks for Intel TV Service Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
investor-man Posted November 14, 2013 Share Posted November 14, 2013 HA! I'm an INTC and LINTA holder. I've always hated the fact that Intel made the move into online TV (diworsification), and have been long hoping they'd sell it off to someone like John Malone who'd know what to do with the business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liberty Posted November 14, 2013 Share Posted November 14, 2013 HA! I'm an INTC and LINTA holder. I've always hated the fact that Intel made the move into online TV (diworsification), and have been long hoping they'd sell it off to someone like John Malone who'd know what to do with the business. I notice this is your first post. Welcome to the forum, Investor Man! :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
orion Posted November 15, 2013 Share Posted November 15, 2013 Thanks bmichaud for the Liberty Global paper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
investor-man Posted November 15, 2013 Share Posted November 15, 2013 HA! I'm an INTC and LINTA holder. I've always hated the fact that Intel made the move into online TV (diworsification), and have been long hoping they'd sell it off to someone like John Malone who'd know what to do with the business. I notice this is your first post. Welcome to the forum, Investor Man! :) Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giofranchi Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Charter lining up cash for Time Warner bid • 2:46 AM - Charter Communications (CHTR) is reportedly close to a deal with banks to borrow money to fund a cash and stock offer for Time Warner Cable (TWC). - Other sources of financing could include sovereign wealth funds and wealthy individuals, - Charter's largest shareholder, Liberty Media (LMCA), could provide investment in order keep its stake in Charter at or above 25% in the event the latter issued stock to help pay for the purchase. Liberty owns 27% at the moment. - However, a deal remains a tall order. Time Warner has reacted negatively, while its market cap of $34.45B dwarfs Charter's $13.2B. Gio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Liberty Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Every time there's a rumor, TWC goes up ten percent. If they're going to do it, I hope they do it before it costs them 50+ billion.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAllen Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Every time there's a rumor, TWC goes up ten percent. If they're going to do it, I hope they do it before it costs them 50+ billion.. They should be able to use the pre-rumor price of ~$90 from June in the negotiations. It will definitely come down to EBITDA multiples primarily though, and TWC doesn't seem to want to give up much on that. CHTR will get some credit for its sub growth (compared to TWC's recent sub losses) and tax assets, but it appears that it will be close to a parity-merger instead of an acquisition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmichaud Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 Interesting Comcast now getting into the mix. In my biased opinion, this makes a CVC tie up all the more likely, as a unified NYC/Greater NYC asset could be formed between TWC/CVC/CMCSA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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