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What are you buying today?


LowIQinvestor

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Yeehah!

 

Sold all puts at a nice profit.

 

However, what to buy now to hedge? Maybe that Einhorn is right and bubble is finally deflating?

 

Some charts are starting to look real ugly with breakdowns and valuation remain high while Democrats are talking about tax hikes.

 

Whatever you think politically this cannot be considered an earnings accelerator but, brakes.

 

Problem with puts is price due to high VIX.

 

I need to revisit Monday as I would not be surprised to see market rebound. We are more into complacency phase as Einhorn puts it vs panic.

 

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Yeehah!

 

Sold all puts at a nice profit.

 

However, what to buy now to hedge? Maybe that Einhorn is right and bubble is finally deflating?

 

Some charts are starting to look real ugly with breakdowns and valuation remain high while Democrats are talking about tax hikes.

 

Whatever you think politically this cannot be considered an earnings accelerator but, brakes.

 

Problem with puts is price due to high VIX.

 

I need to revisit Monday as I would not be surprised to see market rebound. We are more into complacency phase as Einhorn puts it vs panic.

 

Cardboard

 

I'm actually, on a very speculative and short term basis looking at buying a tiny amount of OTM SPY calls thinking that Trumps gonna drop some kind of vaccine announcement over the weekend right ahead of the election. Still got a good bit of spec money after the 8 bagger on DDS options a few weeks ago. Swung a lot of it to the core portfolio for money sucking REITs, but I still think we see some sort of shenanigan around stimulus or vaccine in an attempt to buy off voters next week.

 

On hedging, IDK, still waiting for something to come to me. Ive just been gradually reducing speculative exposure and limiting what I do to things where you have a bit of an event driven, high payoff trade. Otherwise trying to be more disciplined about longs and raising liquidity. My few Nov 20 put plays are kind of set. Not looking at being too aggressive on the hedges.

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Yeehah!

 

Sold all puts at a nice profit.

 

However, what to buy now to hedge? Maybe that Einhorn is right and bubble is finally deflating?

 

Some charts are starting to look real ugly with breakdowns and valuation remain high while Democrats are talking about tax hikes.

 

Whatever you think politically this cannot be considered an earnings accelerator but, brakes.

 

Problem with puts is price due to high VIX.

 

I need to revisit Monday as I would not be surprised to see market rebound. We are more into complacency phase as Einhorn puts it vs panic.

 

Cardboard

If that's what you're worried about why QQQ? I would be more worries about the SPX than QQQ.

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Yeehah!

 

Sold all puts at a nice profit.

 

However, what to buy now to hedge? Maybe that Einhorn is right and bubble is finally deflating?

 

Some charts are starting to look real ugly with breakdowns and valuation remain high while Democrats are talking about tax hikes.

 

Whatever you think politically this cannot be considered an earnings accelerator but, brakes.

 

Problem with puts is price due to high VIX.

 

I need to revisit Monday as I would not be surprised to see market rebound. We are more into complacency phase as Einhorn puts it vs panic.

 

Cardboard

 

I also have been wondering what is priced in to the market in terms of a Democrats win and higher corporate tax rates. Perhaps not much as they would need to win both the WH and Senate for this to happen.

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Smart move on Friday's calls.

 

I have a feeling that we will get some election relief rally. So I am holding off on buying back puts. At that point virus, lockdowns, stimulus will become the topic with no new earnings announcements to speak of. Lots of layoffs announcements which have started will have large impact.

 

People (mostly Democrats) have talked about civil unrest and a key worry right now. I doubt very much that anything will happen since if election is tight the newsflow will be very slow as votes are counted or re-counted. People riot in the streets based on shocks or one-time event. Not things that take weeks to settle.

 

If a Biden landslide, it will be quiet. If a surprise big Trump win: same.

 

So macro will become key after election "noise" or market distraction and nothing really different will happen over next few months weather it is Democrats or Republicans, Senate, Congress or what not.

 

A double dip seems in the cards.

 

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