Sharad Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Trimmed AXP, bought MU and added to PM this week. Thanks Lance I think of buying PM (and maybe MO and BAT) too. What i dont like, is the payout Ratio, which getting Close to 100%. Whats your opinion on that and what do you like about PM? If you like, u can PM me. I saw a lot of people in here buying MO in the last time. Maybe someone of the buyers is willing to give me an insight about my concerns regarding the payout Ratio issue highlighted the post before, here or as a PM. Warmly, Snorky MO has been paying out 80% of its EPS as dividends for a number of years, and that process has not changed. With PM, its payout ratio has exceeded 100% recently, but the investment thesis is that, now that the iqos R&D has concluded and its marketing for the product has ramped up, there is hope that the FCF will improve soon to bring the payout ratio in line...Finally, with BTI, the company is engaging in the integration of LO into RAI and RAI into BTI. There should be hundreds of millions of synergies available that will eventually (i.e. next 2-3 years) find its way to the bottom line. This in turn will result in better dividends for the future. For BTI, the primary concern I have is with its Newport line (from the Lorillard business), and whether it will get caught up in all of the FDA investigations and future regulation of flavoured tobacco products. For PM, the concern is about fledgling growth in many of the countries it resides. For MO, the skies look clearer, and it appears that they are approaching the FDA approval process in a much more pragmatic fashion than BTI, Japan tobacco and other competitors. The FDA will approve a marketing statement for the iQOs product. It's a question of how aggressive that statement will be. We should find out in the 4th quarter this year. I'm long all three stocks, but am more heavily weighted in MO and BTI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gjangal Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 GS and TCEHY FYI, It's probably more efficient to buy tencent through naspers. Depends on the likelihood the South African government expropriates a big chunk of Naspers' value. PIC , a south african SOE responsible for government pensions is a big stakeholder owning around 17% of shares outstanding. There is definitely some political risk here. They are not going to let a cash hoard of 11.2b go out of the door. Their portfolio is impressive. If they spinoff listed shares to existing holders that could add good value. I prefer directly buying TCEHY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ahab Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Recently, I bought a large chunk of Apple stock (before the nice post-earnings run-up :) ). I still like it at these levels. Also, I purchased a moderately sized position in DVMT, which I think Dell will raise its offer for. Furthermore, I increased my stake in Softbank this summer by 1/3. Lastly, I bought some Tesla puts. This is my most speculative position (it feels vaguely like casino gambling). I am very pessimistic about Tesla's future, but the stock trades on optimistic narratives, so I may get the timing wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmoothSailor Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 AMZN down like 3% today. I added to my position Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNF2007 Posted September 17, 2018 Share Posted September 17, 2018 Bought a position in NWL today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voodooking Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 I bought some EHIC today. Interesting Merger Arb situation with 20% spread, due to close by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogermunibond Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Svenska Handelbanken on sale - anyone buying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
petec Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Svenska Handelbanken on sale - anyone buying? 12x and 1.5x is on sale?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foreign Tuffett Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 My recents adds were BLX, CUERVO.MX, TI A and FB. All interesting ideas, thanks Spekulatius. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisowis Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 I bought some EHIC today. Interesting Merger Arb situation with 20% spread, due to close by the end of the month. Why has the spread opened up so much over the past couple of weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boilermaker75 Posted September 18, 2018 Share Posted September 18, 2018 Wrote some BK aug 31 expiration 50-strike puts for $0.55 per share. Yesterday I wrote some BK 50-strike Oct 26 expiration puts ($0.75 per share) and some Sept 21 51-strike expiration puts ($0.35 per share). Today I wrote some 51-strike Sept 28 expiration puts ($0.45 per share). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snorky Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Sharad, Lance and Frommi... thank you very much for your thoughts and insights. Best regards, Snorky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Hjorth Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Svenska Handelbanken on sale - anyone buying? 12x and 1.5x is on sale?! Yes, Pete. I actually agree with Roger here, for that particular bank. I have what I want of this bank for now. 17 percent in red ex. dividends right now. I don't care. SEK weak compared DKK, and it will eventually bounce back because of no peg to EUR [contrary to DKK]. Bank chairman Fredrik Lundberg has been buying shares in the bank like a crazy the last two springs for his personal account, when he has got his personal dividends from L.E. Lundbergföretagen AB [he is the majority owner & CEO in LUND.STO via A-shares]. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gfp Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Not sure why so many people are buying brk.b - at this point brk is an S&P hugger and they both have the same 1 and 5 year returns. Plus, there's probably downside if WB kicks it. It seems safe to say in retrospect that June 26th at 186.44 closing price was an attractive buying opportunity for Berkshire. BRK up 18% since, SPX up 6.75% We buy when Berkshire gets cheap - because we know how to value it - regardless of the index performance or correlation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogermunibond Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Svenska Handelbanken on sale - anyone buying? 12x and 1.5x is on sale?! Given their capital cushions and high ROEs, I think so. They have a M&T vibe in terms of cultivating profitable banking relationships with specific segments - wealthy, business owners, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Hjorth Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Given their capital cushions and high ROEs, I think so. They have a M&T vibe in terms of cultivating profitable banking relationships with specific segments - wealthy, business owners, etc. CoBF Book Forum topic: A Blueprint for Better Banking: Svenska Handelsbanken - Niels Kroner. I suppose Pete already owns both the bank and the book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frommi Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Sold out of PBSV, bought more of D,SPG and IBM. But only because i reached my personal position size limit for KMI, SKT, BTI, PM and MO. I am down to 4% in netnets now and the rest is in defensive dividend growth stocks. I am still hedged with DAX puts and short call spreads on TSLA and NFLX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Hjorth Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Not sure why so many people are buying brk.b - at this point brk is an S&P hugger and they both have the same 1 and 5 year returns. Plus, there's probably downside if WB kicks it. It seems safe to say in retrospect that June 26th at 186.44 closing price was an attractive buying opportunity for Berkshire. BRK up 18% since, SPX up 6.75% We buy when Berkshire gets cheap - because we know how to value it - regardless of the index performance or correlation. Just soo true. It's extremely cumbersome & boring, occupies a lot time to read everything on the Berkshire forum here on CoBF and to discusss [World's best place to discuss Berkshire, I may add!]. - And still we all have personal opinions about a lot of things absolutely not being somewhere near optimal at Berkshire... I, for one, still can't find a modest praying carpet on the Berkshire Wear website ... [<- J/K] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cubsfan Posted September 19, 2018 Share Posted September 19, 2018 Not sure why so many people are buying brk.b - at this point brk is an S&P hugger and they both have the same 1 and 5 year returns. Plus, there's probably downside if WB kicks it. It seems safe to say in retrospect that June 26th at 186.44 closing price was an attractive buying opportunity for Berkshire. BRK up 18% since, SPX up 6.75% We buy when Berkshire gets cheap - because we know how to value it - regardless of the index performance or correlation. Just soo true. It's extremely cumbersome & boring, occupies a lot time to read everything on the Berkshire forum here on CoBF and to discusss [World's best place to discuss Berkshire, I may add!]. - And still we all have personal opinions about a lot of things absolutely not being somewhere near optimal at Berkshire... I, for one, still can't find a modest praying carpet on the Berkshire Wear website ... [<- J/K] John - the Motley Fool Board on BRK has some outstanding commentary and valuation analysis as well. FYI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarganaga Posted September 21, 2018 Share Posted September 21, 2018 Crosstimbers Royalty Trust (CRT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainhunter Posted September 21, 2018 Share Posted September 21, 2018 My recents adds were BLX, CUERVO.MX, TI A and FB. I own all four of these... do we know each other? ;) BLX in particular very interesting here. BLX intrigues me. I don't see a thread on the company. What's your 30-second elevator pitch? :) Or can you point me to a decent writeup somewhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bizaro86 Posted September 21, 2018 Share Posted September 21, 2018 FGE.DB.A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Hjorth Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Added a bit to SCHO.CPH & BAM during the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cubsfan Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Added to Metro Bank (MTRO.L) - UK exchange Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab60 Posted September 22, 2018 Share Posted September 22, 2018 Added to Metro Bank (MTRO.L) - UK exchange Hi. I've been looking a bit into that. Seems very interesting. Have you seen a decent writeup anywhere or mind to share a couple of points? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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