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LowIQinvestor

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Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point.  Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble.

 

They have a nice asset in Wyoming, which is cost-advantaged relative to synthetic production, and cost-advantaged relative to other trona miners.  However, I don't trust management.  Didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out they inflating annual production through deca rehydration, and eventually production would drop off significantly.  The manner in which they disclosed this made them appear either dishonest or incompetent.  Happy to chat more about this one on a dedicated thread for CINR. 

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Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point.  Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble.

 

They have a nice asset in Wyoming, which is cost-advantaged relative to synthetic production, and cost-advantaged relative to other trona miners.  However, I don't trust management.  Didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out they inflating annual production through deca rehydration, and eventually production would drop off significantly.  The manner in which they disclosed this made them appear either dishonest or incompetent.  Happy to chat more about this one on a dedicated thread for CINR.

 

Read the same VIC pitch and I'm in too. Lets start one :)

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Started in CINR....has anyone done work on this? There was a decent write up on VIC. Looks interesting at these prices as long as they stay liquid (which they seem to be doing). Soda Ash consumption seems to be increasing globally. A few catalysts would be EVs and increased Solar panels. CINR seems to be positioned very well long term. If I had to guess the and some other subsidies will all be brought under the umbrella of We Soda (which has discussed IPO). CINR has no baggage like GEL which is also tied to O&G. Divy also seems like it will come back at some point.  Unfortunately there is a K-1. Sorry a bit of a ramble.

 

They have a nice asset in Wyoming, which is cost-advantaged relative to synthetic production, and cost-advantaged relative to other trona miners.  However, I don't trust management.  Didn't take a rocket scientist to figure out they inflating annual production through deca rehydration, and eventually production would drop off significantly.  The manner in which they disclosed this made them appear either dishonest or incompetent.  Happy to chat more about this one on a dedicated thread for CINR.

 

Read the same VIC pitch and I'm in too. Lets start one :)

 

This entity still has 50% IDR’s. Automatic pass for me.

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Why MX now Thanks

Little more GEOS

 

edit: also added some MX

 

The September asset sales closing is still under appreciated IMO. This is now a pureplay on OLED, should be generating reasonable FCF for a growth tech co, balance sheet now pristine, and a focused management. I like tech overall, but think the big boys will have headwinds because beating them up is a bipartisan issue, and some of the other stuff is insanely priced...MX has huge growth ahead of it and the valuation is reasonable. 

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AG small position

 

Silver to gold ratio is currently 77:1. Historically it trades closer to 50:1.

 

Current global consumption is 1b oz annually and production is 800m oz.

 

Silver use in the auto sector from 2002-2020 has grown from 2m oz to over 40m oz. This is mostly outside of EV production which would increase demand even more.

 

Solar panel production has seen similar demand increases 2m oz - 85m oz over the same time period. This is trending down from 100m in 2017 due to increased efficiency in solar panel technology.

 

I think the electric vehicle boom is starting to kick off. Add in solar panels and the demand for silver is going to grow from an industrial perspective over the next decade.

 

I'm not a gold/silver bug by any means, but the current situation seems interesting enough to take a small position.

 

 

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