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HFC - HollyFrontier Corporation


jhcap

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This company is popping up on just about every value screen.

 

HFC is ideally located to capitalize on the unconventional oil boom in the plains states, rocky mountain states and the Southwestern states.

 

Current price= $42.82

P/E ratio = 4.82

Liabilities = $1.7 Billion

Book value = $6.5 Billion

Cash and investments = $2.5 Billion (Separate from operating assets)

Cash flow yield on operating assets of over 26%

 

The cash is just building up so I would expect more buybacks, more special dividends, an increase in regular dividend, or acquisitions/expansion.

 

Risks:

Decrease in crack spread

Emissions regulations

 

"I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up." - Jim Rogers

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  • 4 months later...

What do you guys think about HFC nowadays?

They just took a big hit after a dissapoint last quarter.

 

They have however still an impressive ROE (27.30% TTM), ROI (21.34% TTM) and ROA (16.30% TTM).

 

A chance to pick them up at a discount or a falling knive?

 

 

Btw, this is my first post. Started investing a year ago and hoping to learn much here.

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Back when I started investing in 1989 and the very early 90's, I can remember looking at the refiners in Value Line.  At that point in time, refining was generally a TERRIBLE business.  Most refiners LOST money, or made very, very little.  I think the best refiners were making something like an 6% ROE.  They sold at huge discounts to book value...This kept up for a good period of times, years in fact.

 

The last few years, refiners have made TREMENDOUS returns.  So their profits falling would be a reversion to the mean.  Perhaps in the future they will make average to slightly below average returns?

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  • 7 months later...

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