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Everything posted by Parsad
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Mohnish bought $40 million worth of BAC
Parsad replied to berkshiremystery's topic in General Discussion
Carl, the Mohnish/Fairfax comment was meant tongue-in-cheek...that he won't sell with Prem on his foundation board. Not unlike ourselves, Mohnish has no loyalty to management, but would do what is in the best interest of his partners and fund. We both love Prem, but we have to manage risk and our funds without taking that into consideration. Cheers! -
Article on Burlington Northern and Berkshire. Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-17/buffett-s-burlington-exploits-boxed-asia-grain-up-29-freight.html
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This sixth grader, who has a couple of apps already on sale, does a fantastic job presenting at Tedx. He says he was inspired by Steve Jobs, and you can see him channelling him a bit in the presentation. Cheers! http://ca.news.yahoo.com/blogs/technology-blog/junior-high-app-developer-pre-teen-tycoon-training-002455041.html
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Mohnish bought $40 million worth of BAC
Parsad replied to berkshiremystery's topic in General Discussion
Don't know their batting number, but I would suspect your comment about it being in the 90's is about accurate. A few years ago, Munger said that Buffett has never allocated capital in Berkshire where Berkshire lost more than 2% of equity. So, not only is their batting average high, but their downside is generally extremely low. Cheers! -
Mohnish bought $40 million worth of BAC
Parsad replied to berkshiremystery's topic in General Discussion
He also had at least 10% in a basket of Japanese net-nets, so I suspect he does not have to show those in his filing, just like his Fairfax holdings. Cheers1 -
No, because we've seen Microsoft running without the chief architect for the last five-six years. While Ballmer makes alot of mistakes, and he certainly doesn't have the vision of a Steve Jobs, he is smart enough to keep capex low and share buybacks high. And while Gates isn't involved on a day to day basis, Ballmer can give the largest shareholder a call anytime he wants to get some advice. Also with Microsoft what is the worst that can happen...the P/E compresses from 9 times to 7 times or 5 times? Eventually the market will have to realize that the moat isn't gone, just dented, and that Microsoft's cash flows aren't going to disappear overnight. In Apples case, my opinion is a premature one, but one that parallels Jobs' achievements over the years. He didn't single-handedly design anything there, but he certainly came up with the ideas. You name it and Jobs originally drew up the idea...graphic interface, Mac, mouse, USB, iPod, iPhone, iPad & iTunes. All his! And his relentless pursuit of excellence was incomparable to any other CEO in the modern era. He was Thomas Edison, but unfortunately Apple is not GE. Cheers!
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Excellent article on Richard Rainwater and his battle with his illness. Cheers! http://management.fortune.cnn.com/2011/11/07/richard-rainwater-psp-fight/?iid=SF_F_LN
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Mohnish bought $40 million worth of BAC
Parsad replied to berkshiremystery's topic in General Discussion
I hope so. I don't think there was anything wrong with his original investment philosophy. He got hit hard in 2008 because of the general market correction, correlated risk and not enough cash. The actual 10 stock portfolio wasn't the problem. You can have 20 stocks and still watch your portfolio go down if you don't have enough cash or there is correlated risk. Cheers! -
Mohnish bought $40 million worth of BAC
Parsad replied to berkshiremystery's topic in General Discussion
He has not sold Fairfax as far as I know, and I doubt if he will for some time with Prem sitting on his foundation board and providing an annual donation of $1M. ;D Cheers! -
Mohnish bought $40 million worth of BAC
Parsad replied to berkshiremystery's topic in General Discussion
I got the feeling that he might have after having dinner with him in LA the night before the AGM, but you never know for sure until you see the filings. Hey, what can I say...great minds think alike! ;D Cheers! -
How are you so sure of that? Because Apple is not Walmart, Coca-cola or Berkshire Hathaway. Its products rely on innovation, ease of use for the user, marketing and game changing breakthroughs. Their business would be akin to a top pharmaceutical company, and unfortunately the top scientist, marketer, leader, innovator and negotiator is no longer there. They will continue to make money, but over time that edge they developed will disappear. It does with all of those companies. Look at Microsoft. Look at Dell and that's with the leader still there. It will happen to Google when Brin & Page are gone. It's why for the most part Buffett has avoided technology companies altogether. The moat develops very quickly and can disappear very quickly. Cheers!
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Biglari - A Buffett Devotee Riles His Targets (WSJ)
Parsad replied to ExpectedValue's topic in General Discussion
It's a good letter. They are always good letters. And I'm sure Sardar will improve performance of the company stores to a degree. But he did exclude a couple of things from that letter. In particular, what were his returns on a couple of his longest held positions...Steak'n Shake (now Biglari Holdings) and ITEX? Of the four holdings he listed...Western, Friendly, Fremont Michigan & Penn Miller...the return on three occurred entirely due to the sale of the business, not any improvement in operations. What is stopping the current management of Cracker Barrel from doing the same thing? Especially without bringing aboard a hostile shareholder! With Western, operations actually did not improve that markedly, but he stopped the bleeding and created a sound balance sheet, while leveraging the takeover of Steak'n Shake by issuing warrants to existing shareholders and raising capital. Cracker Barrel's management hasn't done a good job, but what exactly will Sardar do that will be significantly different for the trade-off that will eventually occur once the Biglari Holdings culture takes hold...for better or worse! Cheers! -
That will change quite dramatically over the next decade without Jobs. Cheers!
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The 28 Year-Old Who Wants To Kill Credit Cards
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
Um...so he's never heard of the enormously successful company called Paypal? I think his point was that Paypal and other third party payment systems rely on the same ACH network that the banks use to process credit card charges. Whereas Dwolla is setting up an entirely separate system that doesn't utilize that network at all. It will very difficult to displace the credit card companies or Paypal. I only put the article on here because I just like articles where entrepreneurs are trying to think outside the box and attempting to introduce disruptive systems. I'm a hard-core capitalist, and anytime you get anybody who is attempting something significant, it forms an intriguing case study...whether it succeeds or fails. Remember, at one time no one thought iTunes would do anything to change the music industry, or even that Paypal would succeed in taking market share away from other payment systems. Cheers! -
The FBI probably isn't posting a profit either. Hey, let's get rid of them too! Eric, haven't you seen "J. Edgar Hoover" yet? According to Hoover, the FBI was the only government entity actually showing a profit through recoveries! ;D Cheers!
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We haven't had Saturday deliveries in Canada for decades, and Canada Post is struggling with the same issues and losing money hand over fist as well. It's a combination of union wages, pensions, lower mail and package volume, and competition. The last two are a direct result of companies like Fedex and Amazon, as well as the younger generations penchance for email, texting and electronic payments. I agree with James that the postal service provides a crucial infrastructure program for rural communities, but I suspect even that will change a degree over time. Cheers!
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Interview with Dwolla CEO, Ben Milne. Thanks to Frank for sending me the article! http://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/This-28YearOlds-Startup-Is-siliconalley-2539075670.html?x=0 I love his comment: No one has built a payment network in 30 years — since credit cards. Everybody has concentrated on how we build a portal for credit cards, from digital wallets to Square. We don't believe in credit cards. We believe in authorization and in lower cost transfers. Our generation actually understands that when you buy sh*t, it comes out of your bank account and you have to pay for that. Cheers!
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Some comments by Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein. Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-15/goldman-s-blankfein-growth-to-snap-back-.html
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Google's Android, and I guess you could say Microsoft's too, accounted for 52.5% of smartphone sales in the 3rd quarter! That's alot of momentum Apple is going to have to compete with, especially without Jobs at the helm. Cheers! http://money.msn.com/business-news/article.aspx?feed=BLOOM&data-ipsquote-timestamp=20111115&id=14524165
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The United States Postal Service lost $5.1B last year, not including a $5.5B payment owed to the U.S. government that was deferred. It's just another amazing example of how the internet has completely filled and killed another moat. Cheers! http://money.msn.com/business-news/article.aspx?feed=AP&data-ipsquote-timestamp=20111115&id=14529105
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Some comments from Buffett on Bloomberg. Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-15/buffett-says-investor-returns-are-terrific-as-americans-seek-scarce-jobs.html?cmpid=yhoo
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Zenith CEO, Stanley Zax, has retired and his COO, Jack Miller, will take over. Cheers! http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Zenith-National-Insurance-iw-212080001.html?x=0&l=1
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Bart Chilton, a commissioner at CFTC, says that they are deeply investigating the exactly what happened to the funds at MF Global, including whether there was a deliberate ploy to hide the missing funds. Somebody gonna go to jail! Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-10/mf-global-missing-funds-may-be-part-of-massive-ploy-cftc-s-chilton-says.html
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Here you go. Cheers! Interview_With_Amitabh_Singhi.pdf Gujarat_Fluorochemicals.pdf Mistake_Mar-Jun_2008.pdf Shorting__Jan-Mar_2008.pdf
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Keeps chugging along. Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-10/north-american-rail-freight-carloads-for-nov-5-table-.html?cmpid=yhoo